Netflix Inc (NFLX) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to NFLX's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.00%.   Win rate: 80.0%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.702.   Maximum drawdown: -70.90% on 14 June 2022.
Mean CAGR: 145.45%. Time in market: 2166 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1494.34 on 09 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Netflix

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 15 signal(s) occurring before 02 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (80.0% * 9.43%) + (13.33% * 4.60%) - (6.67% * 17.30%) = 7.00%.
Wins: 12 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Netflix Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
09 June 2026   LOW    factory0.96   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 81.77 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 February 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.893  factory0.77   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 81.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 January 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.89  factory0.631   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 92.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
25 November 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.611  factory0.606   FIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 105.26 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 October 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.785  factory0.606   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 112.96 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 October 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.918  factory0.904   FIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 35.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 September 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.685  factory0.837   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 40.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.999  factory0.983   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 17.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 April 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.909  factory0.715   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 34.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 February 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.962  factory0.859   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 37.51 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 January 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.681  factory0.657   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 57.98 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 May 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.695  factory0.373   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 50.05 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 September 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.758  factory0.735   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 25.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 August 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.73  factory0.794   FIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 29.32 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 July 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.591  factory0.675   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 32.45 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
31 May 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.927  factory0.93   FIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 34.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 December 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.968  factory0.952   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 25.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 October 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.912  factory0.906   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 31.71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 August 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.803  factory0.766   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 32.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
27 June 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.926  factory0.819   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 8.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Netflix Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: NFLX) was last updated 10 Jun 2026 04:58. Data for this stock is available from 03 Dec 2015 - 09 Jun 2026.