Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to MSEX's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 4.95%.   Win rate: 92.86%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.885.   Maximum drawdown: -51.46% on 17 April 2024.
Mean CAGR: 132.18%. Time in market: 3000 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1443.40 on 31 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Middlesex Water Company

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 28 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (92.86% * 8.46%) + (0% * 0%) - (7.14% * 40.68%) = 4.95%.
Wins: 26 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Middlesex Water Company Analysis

Market sector: Utilities.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
19 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.849  factory0.565   50 Day Low $ 50.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
03 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.473  factory0.651   50 Day Low $ 49.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
24 July 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.587  factory0.346   50 Day Low $ 53.06 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
17 June 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.812  factory0.558   50 Day Low $ 55.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
14 May 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.909  factory0.839   50 Day Low $ 55.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule
07 January 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.957  factory0.802   50 Day Low $ 50.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 December 2024   HIGH   smart_toy0.763  factory0.532   50 Day Low $ 61.34 select_check_box schedule schedule schedule schedule
25 March 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.618  factory0.476   50 Day Low $ 50.61 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 February 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.86  factory0.782   50 Day Low $ 54.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 January 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.938  factory0.677   50 Day Low $ 61.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 November 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.907  factory0.805   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 62.49 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
02 October 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.876  factory0.733   50 Day Low $ 65.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
29 August 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.734  factory0.632   50 Day Low $ 77.26 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
01 May 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.614  factory0.543   50 Day Low $ 71.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
28 February 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.564  factory0.794   50 Day Low $ 77.74 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 January 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.906  factory0.748   50 Day Low $ 79.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
20 September 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.873  factory0.792   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 86.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
26 May 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.984  factory0.924   50 Day Low $ 86.06 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
18 April 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.821  factory0.619   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 94.46 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
19 January 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.662  factory0.412   50 Day Low $ 98.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
10 December 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.762  factory0.534   50 Day Low $ 100.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
02 November 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.72  factory0.537   50 Day Low $ 101.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
25 February 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.574  factory0.372   50 Day Low $ 69.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 September 2020  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.604  factory0.639   50 Day Low $ 62.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 February 2020  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.74  factory0.856   50 Day Low $ 59.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 August 2019  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.722  factory0.783   50 Day Low $ 56.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 April 2019  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.709  factory0.666   50 Day Low $ 52.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 November 2018  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.913  factory0.896   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 42.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 February 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.8  factory0.604   50 Day Low $ 35.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 December 2017  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.697  factory0.518   50 Day Low $ 39.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
05 September 2017  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.817  factory0.501   50 Day Low $ 35.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 May 2017  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.615  factory0.757   50 Day Low $ 32.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 March 2017  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.532  factory0.563   50 Day Low $ 32.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 January 2017  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.837  factory0.547   50 Day Low $ 35.46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
15 August 2016  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.797  factory0.55   50 Day Low $ 34.85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Middlesex Water Company (exchange: XNAS symbol: MSEX) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 29 May 2026.