Moderna Inc (MRNA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to MRNA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.17%.   Win rate: 92.98%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.904.   Maximum drawdown: -85.35% on 21 November 2025.
Mean CAGR: 222.72%. Time in market: 4710 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $218.01 on 29 May 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Moderna Inc

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 57 signal(s) occurring before 02 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (92.98% * 11.97%) + (0% * 0%) - (7.02% * 70.60%) = 6.17%.
Wins: 53 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 4

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Moderna Inc Analysis

Market sector: Biotech.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 May 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.898  factory0.858   Double Seven $ 52.76 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 April 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.65  factory0.825   Double Seven $ 51.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
09 March 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.746  factory0.784   Double Seven $ 54.52 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 February 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.983  factory0.928   Double Seven $ 42.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 December 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.931  factory0.456   Double Seven $ 29.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 August 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM    factory0.885   Double Seven $ 84.66 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
02 August 2024  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.937   Double Seven $ 88.88 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 July 2024  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.461   Double Seven $ 117.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
01 July 2024  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.927   Double Seven $ 116.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
04 June 2024  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.908   Double Seven $ 146.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
28 May 2024  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.924   Double Seven $ 157.42 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 April 2024   LOW    factory0.756   Double Seven $ 106.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 March 2024   LOW    factory0.821   Double Seven $ 104.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 March 2023   LOW    factory0.938   Double Seven $ 143.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
31 January 2023   LOW    factory0.909   Double Seven $ 176.28 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 December 2022   LOW    factory0.833   Double Seven $ 177.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
28 November 2022   LOW    factory0.784   Double Seven $ 176.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
28 December 2021  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.938   Double Seven $ 243.40 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 December 2021  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.909   Double Seven $ 275.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 November 2021  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.97   Double Seven $ 277.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 November 2021  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.902   Double Seven $ 239.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 October 2021  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.931   Double Seven $ 329.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
04 October 2021  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.877   Double Seven $ 317.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
20 September 2021  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.912   Double Seven $ 420.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
31 August 2021  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.91   Double Seven $ 376.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 August 2021  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.944   Double Seven $ 381.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
30 July 2021  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.927   Double Seven $ 350.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 July 2021  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.858   Double Seven $ 226.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 June 2021  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.927   Double Seven $ 222.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 June 2021  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.83   Double Seven $ 187.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 May 2021  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.918   Double Seven $ 167.91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 April 2021  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.875   Double Seven $ 177.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 April 2021  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.903   Double Seven $ 171.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 March 2021  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.834   Double Seven $ 126.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 March 2021  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.904   Double Seven $ 141.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 February 2021  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.936   Double Seven $ 150.71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 February 2021  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.917   Double Seven $ 170.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 January 2021  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.94   Double Seven $ 124.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 January 2021  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.924   Double Seven $ 109.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 December 2020  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.965   Double Seven $ 140.87 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 November 2020  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.909   Double Seven $ 148.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 November 2020  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.838   Double Seven $ 99.13 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 October 2020  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.902   Double Seven $ 70.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 October 2020  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.849   Double Seven $ 77.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 September 2020  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.885   Double Seven $ 68.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 September 2020  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.932   Double Seven $ 58.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 August 2020  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.913   Double Seven $ 66.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 August 2020  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.75   Double Seven $ 73.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 July 2020  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.927   Double Seven $ 85.27 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 July 2020  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.934   Double Seven $ 59.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 June 2020  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.924   Double Seven $ 65.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 June 2020  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.852   Double Seven $ 59.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 May 2020  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.918   Double Seven $ 65.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 April 2020  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.921   Double Seven $ 46.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 April 2020  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.903   Double Seven $ 32.45 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020  bubble_chart   MEDIUM    factory0.981   Double Seven $ 25.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 March 2020  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.903   Double Seven $ 24.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 February 2020   LOW    factory0.954   Double Seven $ 21.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 February 2020   LOW    factory0.922   Double Seven $ 21.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 January 2020   LOW    factory0.671   Double Seven $ 20.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 January 2020   LOW    factory0.924   Double Seven $ 18.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 December 2019   LOW    factory0.746   Double Seven $ 18.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 December 2019   LOW    factory0.909   Double Seven $ 20.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 June 2019  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.838   Double Seven $ 15.82 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 May 2019  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.795   Double Seven $ 24.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
09 April 2019  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.625   Double Seven $ 27.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
07 March 2019   LOW    factory0.848   Double Seven $ 20.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Moderna Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: MRNA) was last updated 10 Jun 2026 04:58. Data for this stock is available from 07 Dec 2018 - 09 Jun 2026.