Moderna Inc (MRNA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.
Calculations for Moderna Inc
Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.
Expectancy calculation for 16 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (81.25% * 10.15%) + (6.25% * 0.35%) - (12.50% * 64.92%) = 0.16%.
Wins: 13 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 2
To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.
The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.
Moderna Inc Analysis
Market sector: Biotech.
External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.
These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.
50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)
This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.
Key:
= profit point not achieved.
= profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
= profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%.
= profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.
| Signal Date and Score | Buy Signal | Price | Performance (mouseover for details) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5% | 6% | 7.5% | 10% | 20% | |||
| 30 April 2026 LOW smart_toy0.894 factory0.816 | 50 Day Low | $ 46.07 | |||||
| 05 November 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.695 factory0.747 | 50 Day Low | $ 23.74 | |||||
| 26 August 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.74 factory0.703 | 50 Day Low | $ 25.04 | |||||
| 07 May 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy1 factory0.821 | 50 Day Low | $ 24.33 | |||||
| 03 April 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.997 factory0.808 | 50 Day Low | $ 26.20 | |||||
| 03 March 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.998 factory0.887 | 50 Day Low | $ 30.72 | |||||
| 13 January 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.998 factory0.949 | 50 Day Low | $ 34.22 | |||||
| 11 November 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.996 factory0.969 | 50 Day Low | $ 44.79 | |||||
| 08 October 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.915 factory0.95 | 50 Day Low | $ 58.46 | |||||
| 04 September 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.909 factory0.854 | 50 Day Low | $ 72.44 | |||||
| 01 August 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.908 factory0.748 | 50 Day Low | $ 96.88 | |||||
| 16 October 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.886 factory0.901 | 50 Day Low | $ 93.62 | |||||
| 31 July 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.72 factory0.632 | 50 Day Low | $ 118.19 | |||||
| 09 June 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.943 factory0.666 | 50 Day Low | $ 123.98 | |||||
| 25 April 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.535 factory0.478 | 50 Day Low | $ 136.52 | |||||
| 08 February 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.742 factory0.854 | 50 Day Low | $ 166.84 | |||||
| 06 September 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.782 factory0.799 | 50 Day Low | $ 134.04 | |||||
| 14 June 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.998 factory0.945 | 50 Day Low | $ 119.41 | |||||
| 11 May 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy1 factory0.918 | 50 Day Low | $ 127.08 | |||||
| 14 February 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.897 factory0.822 | 50 Day Low | $ 150.00 | |||||
| 05 January 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.971 factory0.806 | 50 Day Low | $ 223.66 | |||||
| 05 November 2021 MEDIUM smart_toy0.876 factory0.858 | 50 Day Low | $ 239.28 | |||||
| 04 October 2021 MEDIUM smart_toy0.929 factory0.891 | 50 Day Low | $ 317.36 | |||||
| 30 March 2021 MEDIUM smart_toy0.914 factory0.853 | 50 Day Low | $ 120.82 | |||||
| 08 September 2020 MEDIUM smart_toy0.954 factory0.86 | 50 Day Low | $ 56.04 | |||||
| 30 July 2019 LOW smart_toy0.842 factory0.832 | 50 Day Low | $ 13.50 | |||||
| 05 June 2019 LOW smart_toy0.836 factory0.856 | 50 Day Low | $ 18.45 | |||||
The data for Moderna Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: MRNA) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 07 Dec 2018 - 29 May 2026.