Lululemon Athletica Inc (LULU) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to LULU's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.21%.   Win rate: 86.67%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.679.   Maximum drawdown: -66.65% on 15 September 2025.
Mean CAGR: 147.55%. Time in market: 5853 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2120.03 on 20 January 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Lululemon Athletica

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 45 signal(s) occurring before 02 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (86.67% * 10.38%) + (6.67% * 2.42%) - (6.67% * 44.17%) = 6.21%.
Wins: 39 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Lululemon Athletica Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
09 June 2026   LOW    factory0.96   Mega Dump Lite $ 119.26 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 May 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.709  factory0.466   Mega Dump Lite $ 133.36 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
31 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.656  factory0.506   Mega Dump Lite $ 150.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
27 February 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.536  factory0.419   Mega Dump Lite $ 183.15 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
26 January 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.748  factory0.508   Mega Dump Lite $ 191.90 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 December 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.979  factory0.836   Mega Dump Lite $ 182.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 November 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.852  factory0.942   Mega Dump Lite $ 164.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 October 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.96  factory0.928   Mega Dump Lite $ 174.29 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 September 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.83  factory0.9   Mega Dump Lite $ 200.01 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
29 July 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.866  factory0.809   Mega Dump Lite $ 215.02 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
25 June 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.624  factory0.516   Mega Dump Lite $ 233.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
02 May 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.92  factory0.658   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 275.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.951  factory0.783   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 284.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
25 February 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.876  factory0.661   Mega Dump Lite $ 366.56 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.859  factory0.645   Mega Dump Lite $ 316.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 September 2024   HIGH   smart_toy0.978  factory0.751   Mega Dump Lite $ 274.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 August 2024   HIGH   smart_toy0.835  factory0.84   Mega Dump Lite $ 270.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 July 2024   HIGH   smart_toy0.793  factory0.932   Mega Dump Lite $ 251.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 June 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.945  factory0.809   Mega Dump Lite $ 312.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
21 May 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.839  factory0.711   Mega Dump Lite $ 325.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 April 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.738  factory0.586   Mega Dump Lite $ 343.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
23 February 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.8  factory0.764   Mega Dump Lite $ 458.20 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
19 January 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.676  factory0.799   Mega Dump Lite $ 480.89 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 June 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.788  factory0.721   Mega Dump Lite $ 371.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 March 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.654  factory0.811   Mega Dump Lite $ 293.91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 January 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.555  factory0.693   Mega Dump Lite $ 305.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 December 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.504  factory0.812   Mega Dump Lite $ 313.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 November 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.746  factory0.853   Mega Dump Lite $ 327.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 October 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.976  factory0.883   Mega Dump Lite $ 304.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 September 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.767  factory0.833   Mega Dump Lite $ 320.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 July 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.968  factory0.852   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 291.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 June 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.949  factory0.803   Mega Dump Lite $ 303.31 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 May 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.662  factory0.754   Mega Dump Lite $ 357.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 March 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.586  factory0.597   Mega Dump Lite $ 370.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
28 February 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.76  factory0.631   Mega Dump Lite $ 316.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 January 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.787  factory0.793   Mega Dump Lite $ 310.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 December 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.878  factory0.62   Mega Dump Lite $ 387.03 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 November 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.927  factory0.584   Mega Dump Lite $ 468.54 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 October 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.641  factory0.706   Mega Dump Lite $ 400.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
18 June 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.804  factory0.59   Mega Dump Lite $ 346.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 May 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.514  factory0.378   Mega Dump Lite $ 313.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 April 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.655  factory0.45   Mega Dump Lite $ 314.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 March 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.941  factory0.497   Mega Dump Lite $ 297.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 February 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.739  factory0.555   Mega Dump Lite $ 337.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 January 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.727  factory0.587   Mega Dump Lite $ 354.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
30 November 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.852  factory0.602   Mega Dump Lite $ 369.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
26 October 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.695  factory0.679   Mega Dump Lite $ 333.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 September 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.975  factory0.75   Mega Dump Lite $ 305.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 July 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.725  factory0.745   Mega Dump Lite $ 327.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 June 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.941  factory0.791   Mega Dump Lite $ 308.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2020  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.919  factory0.936   Mega Dump Lite $ 182.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.885  factory0.913   Mega Dump Lite $ 228.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 September 2019  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.939  factory0.633   Mega Dump Lite $ 193.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 August 2019  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.91  factory0.861   Mega Dump Lite $ 184.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 January 2019  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.812  factory0.851   Mega Dump Lite $ 150.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 December 2018  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.94  factory0.935   Mega Dump Lite $ 119.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 November 2018  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.928  factory0.84   Mega Dump Lite $ 136.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 October 2018  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.712  factory0.877   Mega Dump Lite $ 145.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 June 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.639  factory0.579   Mega Dump Lite $ 51.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 May 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.681  factory0.518   Mega Dump Lite $ 51.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 April 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.799  factory0.303   Mega Dump Lite $ 50.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 November 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.915  factory0.708   Mega Dump Lite $ 55.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 October 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.889  factory0.717   Mega Dump Lite $ 55.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 September 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.832  factory0.596   Mega Dump Lite $ 66.19 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Lululemon Athletica Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: LULU) was last updated 10 Jun 2026 04:58. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 09 Jun 2026.