Incyte Corp (INCY) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to INCY's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -0.07%.   Win rate: 73.53%.   Sharpe Ratio: -5.185.   Maximum drawdown: -58.31% on 24 December 2018.
Mean CAGR: 99.07%. Time in market: 16535 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $541.21 on 08 November 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Incyte

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 68 signal(s) occurring before 02 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (73.53% * 9.17%) + (5.88% * 1.10%) - (20.59% * 33.43%) = -0.07%.
Wins: 50 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 14

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Incyte Analysis

Market sector: Biotech.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 May 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.752  factory0.757   Double Seven $ 99.98 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 April 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.979  factory0.817   Double Seven $ 96.80 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 March 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.963  factory0.799   Double Seven $ 96.77 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
06 February 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.926  factory0.724   Double Seven $ 106.07 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 January 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.919  factory0.825   Double Seven $ 102.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
02 December 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.662  factory0.918   Double Seven $ 101.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
31 October 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.946  factory0.783   Double Seven $ 93.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
29 September 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.637  factory0.897   Double Seven $ 83.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 August 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.887  factory0.794   Double Seven $ 84.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 March 2025   MEDIUM    factory0.949   Double Seven $ 60.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 February 2025   LOW    factory0.819   Double Seven $ 70.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
13 January 2025   LOW    factory0.945   Double Seven $ 71.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
10 December 2024   LOW    factory0.881   Double Seven $ 72.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
08 November 2024   LOW    factory0.885   Double Seven $ 82.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 October 2024   LOW    factory0.842   Double Seven $ 66.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 September 2024   LOW    factory0.826   Double Seven $ 66.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 July 2024   LOW    factory0.763   Double Seven $ 68.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 June 2024   LOW    factory0.668   Double Seven $ 61.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 February 2024   LOW    factory0.941   Double Seven $ 59.69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 January 2024   LOW    factory0.919   Double Seven $ 63.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
11 January 2024   LOW    factory0.924   Double Seven $ 63.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
28 March 2023   LOW    factory0.969   Double Seven $ 70.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 February 2023   LOW    factory0.93   Double Seven $ 78.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 January 2023   LOW    factory0.78   Double Seven $ 81.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 December 2022   LOW    factory0.924   Double Seven $ 81.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 August 2022   LOW    factory0.923   Double Seven $ 70.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 August 2022   LOW    factory0.913   Double Seven $ 72.23 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
29 July 2022   LOW    factory0.932   Double Seven $ 78.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
25 July 2022   LOW    factory0.927   Double Seven $ 80.76 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
27 June 2022   LOW    factory0.93   Double Seven $ 77.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
21 June 2022   LOW    factory0.924   Double Seven $ 72.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
24 May 2022   LOW    factory0.92   Double Seven $ 75.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box disabled_by_default
17 May 2022   LOW    factory0.918   Double Seven $ 75.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
20 April 2022   LOW    factory0.409   Double Seven $ 79.22 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
13 April 2022   LOW    factory0.903   Double Seven $ 81.02 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 September 2020   LOW    factory0.938   Double Seven $ 88.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
10 August 2020   LOW    factory0.835   Double Seven $ 95.54 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 July 2020   LOW    factory0.699   Double Seven $ 108.19 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 June 2020   LOW    factory0.804   Double Seven $ 101.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 April 2020   LOW    factory0.814   Double Seven $ 96.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
29 April 2020   LOW    factory0.903   Double Seven $ 97.05 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
14 January 2020   LOW    factory0.727   Double Seven $ 79.42 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 December 2019   LOW    factory0.874   Double Seven $ 91.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
08 November 2019   LOW    factory0.914   Double Seven $ 83.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 September 2019   LOW    factory0.885   Double Seven $ 79.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 September 2019   LOW    factory0.798   Double Seven $ 79.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 August 2019   LOW    factory0.913   Double Seven $ 84.16 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 August 2019   LOW    factory0.841   Double Seven $ 84.30 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 July 2019   LOW    factory0.927   Double Seven $ 81.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 July 2019   LOW    factory0.799   Double Seven $ 80.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 June 2019   LOW    factory0.924   Double Seven $ 80.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 June 2019   LOW    factory0.954   Double Seven $ 77.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 May 2019   LOW    factory0.918   Double Seven $ 76.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 May 2019   LOW    factory0.912   Double Seven $ 77.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 April 2019   LOW    factory0.903   Double Seven $ 80.39 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
09 April 2019   LOW    factory0.817   Double Seven $ 83.41 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 March 2019   LOW    factory0.903   Double Seven $ 84.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 March 2019   LOW    factory0.778   Double Seven $ 82.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 February 2019   LOW    factory0.922   Double Seven $ 80.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
13 October 2017  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.899   Double Seven $ 113.89 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
10 October 2017  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.771   Double Seven $ 114.46 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 September 2017  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.907   Double Seven $ 128.22 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 September 2017  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.694   Double Seven $ 136.21 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
08 August 2017  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.937   Double Seven $ 131.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 August 2017  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.77   Double Seven $ 127.29 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 July 2017  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.927   Double Seven $ 127.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 July 2017  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.933   Double Seven $ 126.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
02 June 2017  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.924   Double Seven $ 131.53 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 May 2017  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.935   Double Seven $ 132.14 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
01 May 2017  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.879   Double Seven $ 124.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
25 April 2017  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.87   Double Seven $ 124.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
28 March 2017  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.899   Double Seven $ 139.47 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 March 2017  bubble_chart   LOW    factory0.935   Double Seven $ 140.05 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
22 February 2017   LOW    factory0.905   Double Seven $ 121.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 February 2017   LOW    factory0.785   Double Seven $ 120.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 January 2017   LOW    factory0.918   Double Seven $ 117.77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 December 2016   LOW    factory0.7   Double Seven $ 101.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 December 2016   LOW    factory0.91   Double Seven $ 101.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 November 2016   LOW    factory0.817   Double Seven $ 104.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 November 2016   LOW    factory0.914   Double Seven $ 103.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 October 2016   LOW    factory0.759   Double Seven $ 86.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 October 2016   LOW    factory0.899   Double Seven $ 91.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 September 2016   LOW    factory0.8   Double Seven $ 79.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 August 2016   LOW    factory0.913   Double Seven $ 79.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 August 2016   LOW    factory0.761   Double Seven $ 85.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 July 2016   LOW    factory0.927   Double Seven $ 83.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Incyte Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: INCY) was last updated 10 Jun 2026 04:58. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 09 Jun 2026.