Casey's General Stores Inc (CASY) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to CASY's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.26%.   Win rate: 92.31%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.932.   Maximum drawdown: -19.97% on 12 June 2018.
Mean CAGR: 99.08%. Time in market: 3032 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3594.87 on 03 May 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Casey's General Stores

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 26 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (92.31% * 8.89%) + (7.69% * 0.64%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.26%.
Wins: 24 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Casey's General Stores Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
25 August 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.911  factory0.64   50 Day Low $ 499.49 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.97  factory0.793   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 379.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 August 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.913  factory0.713   50 Day Low $ 361.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 February 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.818  factory0.861   50 Day Low $ 217.49 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 October 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.975  factory0.918   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 199.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.954  factory0.859   50 Day Low $ 195.39 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 February 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.983  factory0.765   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 180.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 January 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.978  factory0.719   50 Day Low $ 182.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 December 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.896  factory0.804   50 Day Low $ 184.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 October 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.866  factory0.722   50 Day Low $ 186.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
10 September 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.908  factory0.604   50 Day Low $ 192.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 June 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.758  factory0.476   50 Day Low $ 205.59 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 October 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.912  factory0.729   50 Day Low $ 170.71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.971  factory0.895   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 148.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 December 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.852  factory0.62   50 Day Low $ 156.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
30 September 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.829  factory0.662   50 Day Low $ 160.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
20 March 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.865  factory0.682   50 Day Low $ 125.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.953  factory0.926   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 118.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 May 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.866  factory0.697   50 Day Low $ 94.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 April 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.938  factory0.665   50 Day Low $ 102.01 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 March 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.814  factory0.676   50 Day Low $ 108.01 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
13 December 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.678  factory0.651   50 Day Low $ 105.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 July 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.943  factory0.747   50 Day Low $ 100.49 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 June 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.933  factory0.786   50 Day Low $ 106.29 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 March 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.853  factory0.644   50 Day Low $ 105.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 January 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.702  factory0.619   50 Day Low $ 110.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 October 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.936  factory0.78   50 Day Low $ 111.27 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
07 September 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.879  factory0.7   50 Day Low $ 117.27 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 February 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.983  factory0.929   50 Day Low $ 106.63 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Casey's General Stores Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: CASY) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 29 May 2026.