Unitedhealth Group Inc (UNH) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to UNH's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.84%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 1.67.   Maximum drawdown: -14.86% on 30 September 2019.
Mean CAGR: 155.95%. Time in market: 1149 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2035.53 on 16 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Unitedhealth Group

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 13 signal(s) occurring before 30 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.84%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.84%.
Wins: 13 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Unitedhealth Group Analysis

Market sector: Healthcare.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
23 March 2026   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.593 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 274.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 January 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.814 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 288.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 July 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.973 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 263.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 April 2025   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.984 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 437.54 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
21 February 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.812 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 452.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 December 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.822 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 544.59 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
10 April 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.579 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 452.77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 March 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.392 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 475.89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 January 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.605 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 488.57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
14 June 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.687 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 450.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 March 2023   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.577 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 469.43 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
05 January 2023   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.623 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 495.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 June 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.97 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 464.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
30 September 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.416 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 396.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 February 2020   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.815 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 255.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 September 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.458 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 217.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 August 2019   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.718 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 233.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 April 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.606 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 236.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 December 2018   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.92 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 251.11 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Unitedhealth Group Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: UNH) was last updated 08 May 2026 01:35. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 07 May 2026.