Tootsie Roll Industries Inc (TR) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to TR's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Expectancy: 3.80%.   Win rate: 63.64%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.406.   Maximum drawdown: 34.91% on 13 August 2024.
Mean CAGR: 44.58%. Time in market: 3562 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1012.87 on 28 April 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Tootsie Roll Industries

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 11 signal(s) occurring before 27 February 2024 for a 5% profit target: (63.64% * 9.23%) + (27.27% * 1.23%) - (9.09% * 26.54%) = 3.80%.
Wins: 7 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 1

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Tootsie Roll Industries Analysis

Market sector: Industrials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
05 March 2026 $ 41.60 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 October 2025 bubble_chart $ 40.76 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 September 2025 bubble_chart $ 40.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
06 January 2025 bubble_chart $ 31.71 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 April 2023 bubble_chart $ 42.88 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 January 2023 bubble_chart $ 44.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 June 2021 $ 33.53 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 January 2021 $ 40.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 July 2020 $ 31.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 March 2020 $ 36.71 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 February 2020 $ 32.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 September 2019 $ 36.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 March 2018 bubble_chart $ 31.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 May 2017 bubble_chart $ 35.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 September 2016 bubble_chart $ 34.73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Tootsie Roll Industries Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: TR) was last updated 06 Mar 2026 14:23. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 05 Mar 2026.