Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc (TMO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to TMO's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 7.03%.   Win rate: 90.91%.   Sharpe Ratio: -3.622.   Maximum drawdown: -31.35% on 25 October 2023.
Mean CAGR: 97.9%. Time in market: 3846 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2759.59 on 01 August 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Thermo Fisher Scientific

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 33 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (90.91% * 8.10%) + (6.06% * 0.60%) - (3.03% * 12.32%) = 7.03%.
Wins: 30 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Thermo Fisher Scientific Analysis

Market sector: Healthcare.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
28 April 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.564   Mega Dump Lite $ 471.10 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.787   Mega Dump Lite $ 481.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
19 February 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.825   Mega Dump Lite $ 512.56 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
01 July 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.713   Mega Dump Lite $ 413.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 May 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.843   Mega Dump Lite $ 402.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.97   Mega Dump Lite $ 425.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.896   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 517.91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
20 February 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.729   Mega Dump Lite $ 535.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule
03 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.452   Mega Dump Lite $ 532.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
01 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.71   Mega Dump Lite $ 553.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
23 April 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.575   Mega Dump Lite $ 571.05 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
20 November 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.675   Mega Dump Lite $ 467.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.928   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 481.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.723   Mega Dump Lite $ 514.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 June 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.944   Mega Dump Lite $ 520.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
01 May 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.605   Mega Dump Lite $ 550.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 December 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.791   Mega Dump Lite $ 536.93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 November 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.815   Mega Dump Lite $ 537.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
11 October 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.973   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 503.91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
07 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.791   Mega Dump Lite $ 547.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 July 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.977   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 550.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
01 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.975   Mega Dump Lite $ 562.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 April 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.754   Mega Dump Lite $ 559.31 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
18 March 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.968   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 582.95 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 February 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.844   Mega Dump Lite $ 562.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
11 January 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.709   Mega Dump Lite $ 622.75 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 April 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.621   Mega Dump Lite $ 462.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 March 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.722   Mega Dump Lite $ 461.06 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 December 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.48   Mega Dump Lite $ 470.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 November 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.763   Mega Dump Lite $ 490.79 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
03 April 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.975   Mega Dump Lite $ 282.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.89   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 312.77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 August 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.758   Mega Dump Lite $ 278.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 April 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.574   Mega Dump Lite $ 262.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 January 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.706   Mega Dump Lite $ 236.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.954   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 217.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.94   Mega Dump Lite $ 235.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.872   Mega Dump Lite $ 231.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 March 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.597   Mega Dump Lite $ 210.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
13 February 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.82   Mega Dump Lite $ 202.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 December 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.737   Mega Dump Lite $ 140.69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 March 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.911   Mega Dump Lite $ 136.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 February 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.992   Mega Dump Lite $ 124.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: TMO) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 15 May 2026.