Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT (TLK) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to TLK's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 6.31%.   Win rate: 66.67%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.318.   Maximum drawdown: -35.27% on 19 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 120.71%. Time in market: 2633 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1333.06 on 13 August 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Telkom Indonesia

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 15 signal(s) occurring before 15 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (66.67% * 8.66%) + (33.33% * 1.60%) - (0% * 0%) = 6.31%.
Wins: 10 Breakevens: 5 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Telkom Indonesia Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
22 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.779   Super Oversold (26) $ 16.42 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 April 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.825   Super Oversold (RoC) $ 16.65 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 April 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.976   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 13.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 February 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.589   Super Oversold (26) $ 14.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 February 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.774   Super Oversold (52) $ 14.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 February 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.774   Super Oversold (26) $ 14.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 June 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.532   Super Oversold (26) $ 17.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 June 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.532   Super Oversold (52) $ 17.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 May 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.767   Super Oversold (52) $ 18.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
19 April 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.643   Super Oversold (RoC) $ 19.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 April 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.641   Super Oversold (26) $ 19.85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.772   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 22.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.753   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 21.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 December 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.652   Super Oversold (26) $ 23.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.966   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 16.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.98   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 20.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 February 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.696   Super Oversold (26) $ 25.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 September 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.916   Super Oversold (52) $ 21.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 September 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.916   Super Oversold (26) $ 21.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 August 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.712   Super Oversold (26) $ 23.23 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 May 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.799   Super Oversold (RoC) $ 23.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 May 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.724   Super Oversold (26) $ 24.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
20 March 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.658   Super Oversold (26) $ 25.69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 February 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.792   Super Oversold (26) $ 27.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT (exchange: XNYS symbol: TLK) was last updated 24 May 2026 14:50. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 22 May 2026.