Old Republic International Corp (ORI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to ORI's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 7.93%.   Win rate: 96.15%.   Sharpe Ratio: -3.371.   Maximum drawdown: -38.14% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 107.78%. Time in market: 2489 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3194.32 on 27 March 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Old Republic International

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 26 signal(s) occurring before 30 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (96.15% * 8.21%) + (3.85% * 0.90%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.93%.
Wins: 25 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Old Republic International Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 May 2026   LOW     smart_toy0.617 Mega Dump Lite $ 39.26 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 March 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.717 Mega Dump Lite $ 38.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
18 February 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.772 Mega Dump Lite $ 42.18 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 January 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.695 Mega Dump Lite $ 43.16 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 December 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.673 Mega Dump Lite $ 43.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
03 November 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.794 Mega Dump Lite $ 39.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
10 April 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.969 Mega Dump Lite $ 36.66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 January 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.819 Mega Dump Lite $ 36.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
23 December 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.41 Mega Dump Lite $ 36.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
05 March 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.605 Mega Dump Lite $ 29.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 January 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.854 Mega Dump Lite $ 28.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 April 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.603 Mega Dump Lite $ 25.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
16 March 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.902 Mega Dump Lite $ 24.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.982 Mega Dump Lite $ 22.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 September 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.822 Mega Dump Lite $ 22.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 June 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.964 Mega Dump Lite $ 21.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 May 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.958 Mega Dump Lite $ 22.91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 April 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.819 Mega Dump Lite $ 24.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 December 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.736 Mega Dump Lite $ 24.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 October 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.795 Mega Dump Lite $ 24.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
23 September 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.647 Mega Dump Lite $ 23.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
28 September 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.872 Mega Dump Lite $ 14.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 July 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.932 Mega Dump Lite $ 15.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 June 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.733 Mega Dump Lite $ 18.51 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
05 May 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.895 Mega Dump Lite $ 14.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.99 Mega Dump Lite $ 13.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.744 Mega Dump Lite $ 20.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 December 2018   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.952 Mega Dump Lite $ 18.64 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 November 2018   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.932 Mega Dump Lite $ 19.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 October 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.743 Mega Dump Lite $ 18.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
03 July 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.62 Mega Dump Lite $ 17.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
08 May 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.734 Mega Dump Lite $ 17.91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
14 February 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.817 Mega Dump Lite $ 17.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
06 December 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.669 Mega Dump Lite $ 14.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
02 November 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.683 Mega Dump Lite $ 13.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Old Republic International Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: ORI) was last updated 08 May 2026 01:35. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 07 May 2026.