Nike Inc (NKE) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to NKE's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: -1.73%.   Win rate: 71.43%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.995.   Maximum drawdown: -52.96% on 13 April 2026.
Mean CAGR: 85.02%. Time in market: 10318 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1970.20 on 29 December 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Nike

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 42 signal(s) occurring before 12 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (71.43% * 8.95%) + (7.14% * 0.27%) - (21.43% * 37.98%) = -1.73%.
Wins: 30 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 9

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Nike Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
19 May 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.846   Mega Dump Lite $ 42.51 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 April 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.294   Mega Dump Lite $ 46.20 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.956   Mega Dump Lite $ 55.28 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 January 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.857   Mega Dump Lite $ 65.52 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 December 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.459   Mega Dump Lite $ 64.57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.525   Mega Dump Lite $ 61.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
01 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.744   Mega Dump Lite $ 74.27 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.991   Mega Dump Lite $ 58.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.969   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 67.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
18 February 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.954   Mega Dump Lite $ 76.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
14 January 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.995   Mega Dump Lite $ 71.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
19 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.938   Mega Dump Lite $ 74.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
18 October 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.93   Mega Dump Lite $ 83.35 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 September 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.965   Mega Dump Lite $ 79.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
13 August 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.903   Mega Dump Lite $ 76.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
12 July 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.932   Mega Dump Lite $ 73.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 May 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.924   Mega Dump Lite $ 92.00 select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 April 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.923   Mega Dump Lite $ 90.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
08 March 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.805   Mega Dump Lite $ 98.82 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 January 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.787   Mega Dump Lite $ 103.39 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
29 December 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.888   Mega Dump Lite $ 108.38 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
13 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.967   Mega Dump Lite $ 99.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.894   Mega Dump Lite $ 96.89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 August 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.907   Mega Dump Lite $ 108.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
05 July 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.913   Mega Dump Lite $ 106.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
02 June 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.965   Mega Dump Lite $ 106.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
21 December 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.878   Mega Dump Lite $ 116.27 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
14 November 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.822   Mega Dump Lite $ 104.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 October 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.99   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 87.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.957   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 106.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 July 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.994   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 104.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.985   Mega Dump Lite $ 120.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 May 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.957   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 125.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 March 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.845   Mega Dump Lite $ 138.50 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
25 February 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.964   Mega Dump Lite $ 138.46 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 January 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.88   Mega Dump Lite $ 143.40 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
21 December 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.731   Mega Dump Lite $ 166.66 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
26 October 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.849   Mega Dump Lite $ 164.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 September 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.716   Mega Dump Lite $ 159.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
09 April 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.743   Mega Dump Lite $ 134.70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 March 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.775   Mega Dump Lite $ 135.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 February 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.837   Mega Dump Lite $ 135.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 July 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.631   Mega Dump Lite $ 95.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 June 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.719   Mega Dump Lite $ 100.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.988   Mega Dump Lite $ 78.91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.871   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 91.61 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 September 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.85   Mega Dump Lite $ 86.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
08 August 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.839   Mega Dump Lite $ 81.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 June 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.95   Mega Dump Lite $ 79.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 January 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.866   Mega Dump Lite $ 79.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.925   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 71.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.947   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 72.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.906   Mega Dump Lite $ 75.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
29 September 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.547   Mega Dump Lite $ 50.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 August 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.852   Mega Dump Lite $ 52.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 September 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.914   Mega Dump Lite $ 52.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 April 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.389   Mega Dump Lite $ 56.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 March 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.703   Mega Dump Lite $ 58.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 February 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.993   Mega Dump Lite $ 53.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Nike Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: NKE) was last updated 20 May 2026 04:32. Data for this stock is available from 04 Jan 2016 - 19 May 2026.