Merck & Co Inc (MRK) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to MRK's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.45%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.925.   Maximum drawdown: -14.21% on 25 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 111.01%. Time in market: 2071 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3007.49 on 13 April 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Merck & Co

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 25 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.45%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.45%.
Wins: 25 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Merck & Co Analysis

Market sector: Healthcare.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
01 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.823   Mega Dump Lite $ 112.24 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 May 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.737   Mega Dump Lite $ 76.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.975   Mega Dump Lite $ 81.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
25 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.835   Mega Dump Lite $ 90.09 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
20 February 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.771   Mega Dump Lite $ 86.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
15 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.911   Mega Dump Lite $ 97.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 October 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.816   Mega Dump Lite $ 109.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 September 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.69   Mega Dump Lite $ 115.27 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 August 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.771   Mega Dump Lite $ 114.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 July 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.694   Mega Dump Lite $ 105.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
07 March 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.585   Mega Dump Lite $ 111.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 February 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.841   Mega Dump Lite $ 106.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
08 August 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.776   Mega Dump Lite $ 87.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.953   Mega Dump Lite $ 87.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 February 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.703   Mega Dump Lite $ 76.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 January 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.562   Mega Dump Lite $ 81.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 December 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.49   Mega Dump Lite $ 73.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 November 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.702   Mega Dump Lite $ 83.66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 September 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.525   Mega Dump Lite $ 72.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 June 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.567   Mega Dump Lite $ 75.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
08 March 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.576   Mega Dump Lite $ 73.63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
02 February 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.838   Mega Dump Lite $ 77.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 July 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.549   Mega Dump Lite $ 79.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
18 June 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.833   Mega Dump Lite $ 75.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 May 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.768   Mega Dump Lite $ 77.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
03 April 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.979   Mega Dump Lite $ 76.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
03 March 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.744   Mega Dump Lite $ 79.63 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 May 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.516   Mega Dump Lite $ 77.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
24 April 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.708   Mega Dump Lite $ 72.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.897   Mega Dump Lite $ 71.79 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
20 March 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.654   Mega Dump Lite $ 51.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 February 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.84   Mega Dump Lite $ 52.19 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 December 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.68   Mega Dump Lite $ 51.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 November 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.508   Mega Dump Lite $ 51.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Merck & Co Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: MRK) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 15 May 2026.