Ingredion Inc (INGR) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Rate of Change Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom
Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB Best Buy Signals [ What are these indicators? | Switch to INGR's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores help.
Expectancy: 3.01%. Win rate: 80.0%. Sharpe Ratio: -2.681. Maximum drawdown: -49.34% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 74.68%. Time in market: 6851 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1684.79 on 07 December 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Ingredion

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 30 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (80.0% * 8.13%) + (6.67% * 3.60%) - (13.33% * 27.95%) = 3.01%.
Wins: 24 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 4

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Ingredion Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
08 May 2026 LOW smart_toy0.566	Mega Dump Lite	$ 107.90	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
12 December 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.707	Mega Dump Lite	$ 111.86	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule	schedule
10 November 2025 LOW smart_toy0.744	Mega Dump Lite	$ 108.00	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule
15 April 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.681	Mega Dump Lite	$ 130.74	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule
14 March 2025 LOW smart_toy0.886	Mega Dump Lite	$ 130.80	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule
10 February 2025 LOW smart_toy0.627	Mega Dump Lite	$ 127.62	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule
21 November 2024 LOW smart_toy0.737	Mega Dump Lite	$ 143.34	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
19 September 2023 LOW smart_toy0.894	Mega Dump Lite	$ 98.88	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
18 August 2023 LOW smart_toy0.756	Mega Dump Lite	$ 98.39	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.968	Mega Dump Lite	$ 81.52	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 September 2022 LOW smart_toy0.831	Mega Dump Lite	$ 85.60	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
23 June 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.983	Mega Dump Lite	$ 84.90	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
15 March 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.944	Mega Dump Lite	$ 82.80	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
09 February 2022 LOW smart_toy0.851	Mega Dump Lite	$ 87.32	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
01 December 2020 LOW smart_toy0.854	Mega Dump Lite	$ 78.32	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
30 October 2020 LOW smart_toy0.609	Mega Dump Lite	$ 71.12	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 September 2020 LOW smart_toy0.865	Mega Dump Lite	$ 77.01	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
21 August 2020 LOW smart_toy0.758	Mega Dump Lite	$ 77.74	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
20 July 2020 LOW smart_toy0.608	Mega Dump Lite	$ 83.82	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
16 June 2020 LOW smart_toy0.735	Mega Dump Lite	$ 85.91	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
08 May 2020 LOW smart_toy0.691	Mega Dump Lite	$ 82.67	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
06 April 2020 HIGH smart_toy0.561	Mega Dump Lite	$ 78.90	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
04 March 2020 LOW smart_toy0.652	Mega Dump Lite	$ 85.46	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
17 June 2019 LOW smart_toy0.72	Mega Dump Lite	$ 78.79	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
14 May 2019 LOW smart_toy0.677	Mega Dump Lite	$ 81.34	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
27 December 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.869 FIRE SALE	Mega Dump Lite	$ 85.94	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
26 October 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.866 FIRE SALE	Mega Dump Lite	$ 93.41	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
24 August 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.848	Mega Dump Lite	$ 96.05	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
23 July 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.766	Mega Dump Lite	$ 91.16	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
12 June 2018 LOW smart_toy0.835	Mega Dump Lite	$ 106.20	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
11 May 2018 LOW smart_toy0.659	Mega Dump Lite	$ 104.79	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
20 March 2018 LOW smart_toy0.698	Mega Dump Lite	$ 122.93	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
14 February 2018 LOW smart_toy0.711	Mega Dump Lite	$ 120.60	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
13 March 2017 LOW smart_toy0.579	Mega Dump Lite	$ 110.15	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
07 February 2017 LOW smart_toy0.954	Mega Dump Lite	$ 108.13	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
20 December 2016 LOW smart_toy0.969	Mega Dump Lite	$ 114.56	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
16 November 2016 LOW smart_toy0.871	Mega Dump Lite	$ 109.58	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box

The data for Ingredion Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: INGR) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 15 May 2026.