Hershey Company (HSY) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to HSY's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 3.15%.   Win rate: 81.25%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.438.   Maximum drawdown: -41.48% on 05 February 2025.
Mean CAGR: 65.68%. Time in market: 3474 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1335.01 on 07 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Hershey

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 16 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (81.25% * 8.25%) + (0% * 0%) - (18.75% * 18.93%) = 3.15%.
Wins: 13 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Hershey Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 April 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.776   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 189.02 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 October 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.618   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 171.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 May 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.835   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 153.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 January 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.929   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 152.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 December 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.828   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 170.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
22 October 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.553   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 183.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 June 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.667   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 182.37 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
15 April 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.563   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 183.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
15 December 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.906   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 182.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.916   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 188.83 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 September 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.753   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 208.29 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
08 August 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.703   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 224.65 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 July 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.767   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 245.14 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 June 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.949   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 203.13 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 September 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.799   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 169.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 March 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.9   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 134.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
04 November 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.808   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 139.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 April 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.603   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 88.21 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 March 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.572   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 91.59 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 February 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.823   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 95.51 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 October 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.847   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 98.37 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
07 July 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.786   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 98.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 September 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.493   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 87.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Hershey Company (exchange: XNYS symbol: HSY) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 15 May 2026.