HP Inc (HPQ) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Rate of Change Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom
Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB Best Buy Signals [ What are these indicators? | Switch to HPQ's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores help.
Expectancy: 4.70%. Win rate: 84.00%. Sharpe Ratio: -1.874. Maximum drawdown: -45.72% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 131.53%. Time in market: 4254 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2029.51 on 15 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for HP

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 25 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (84.00% * 8.62%) + (4.00% * 1.50%) - (12.00% * 21.61%) = 4.70%.
Wins: 21 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

HP Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
11 May 2026 LOW smart_toy0.867	Gap Down	$ 22.22	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
03 February 2026 LOW smart_toy0.944	Gap Down	$ 19.03	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule
04 November 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.486	Gap Down	$ 26.23	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
28 May 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.934	Gap Down	$ 27.68	select_check_box	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
03 April 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.986	Gap Down	$ 24.83	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
28 February 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.762	Gap Down	$ 31.15	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
27 November 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.939	Gap Down	$ 35.61	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
27 September 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.724	Gap Down	$ 35.58	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule
25 July 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.514	Gap Down	$ 36.93	select_check_box	select_check_box	schedule	schedule	schedule
31 May 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.561	Gap Down	$ 37.04	select_check_box	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
30 August 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.657	Gap Down	$ 28.90	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
31 May 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.915	Gap Down	$ 28.64	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
21 February 2023 LOW smart_toy0.565	Gap Down	$ 29.32	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
15 December 2022 LOW smart_toy0.822	Gap Down	$ 27.28	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
07 October 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.989 FIRE SALE	Gap Down	$ 25.40	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 August 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.85	Gap Down	$ 32.40	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
22 April 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.779	Gap Down	$ 37.46	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
14 March 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.963	Gap Down	$ 35.04	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default
12 October 2021 LOW smart_toy0.819	Gap Down	$ 27.12	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 September 2021 LOW smart_toy0.794	Gap Down	$ 29.08	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 May 2021 LOW smart_toy0.713	Gap Down	$ 34.06	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
26 October 2020 LOW smart_toy0.736	Gap Down	$ 18.56	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 July 2020 LOW smart_toy0.649	Gap Down	$ 17.24	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
24 June 2020 LOW smart_toy0.764	Gap Down	$ 16.50	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
01 April 2020 LOW smart_toy0.992 FIRE SALE	Gap Down	$ 15.54	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
04 October 2019 LOW smart_toy0.572	Gap Down	$ 16.53	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 August 2019 LOW smart_toy0.689	Gap Down	$ 19.83	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
28 February 2019 LOW smart_toy0.372	Gap Down	$ 19.06	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
19 December 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.975 FIRE SALE	Gap Down	$ 20.13	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
12 November 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.934	Gap Down	$ 23.20	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
05 October 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.876	Gap Down	$ 24.56	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
22 November 2017 LOW smart_toy0.725	Gap Down	$ 19.67	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
23 November 2016 LOW smart_toy0.629	Gap Down	$ 13.62	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
14 October 2016 LOW smart_toy0.498	Gap Down	$ 13.12	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
22 June 2016 LOW smart_toy0.702	Gap Down	$ 11.36	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

The data for HP Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: HPQ) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 04 Jan 2016 - 15 May 2026.