HCA Healthcare Inc (HCA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to HCA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 9.01%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.292.   Maximum drawdown: -46.15% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 164.24%. Time in market: 2188 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $6291.85 on 12 June 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for HCA Healthcare

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 38 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 9.01%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.01%.
Wins: 38 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

HCA Healthcare Analysis

Market sector: Healthcare.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
08 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.802   Mega Dump Lite $ 434.32 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
06 April 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.702   Mega Dump Lite $ 477.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 December 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.85   Mega Dump Lite $ 471.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
30 July 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.559   Mega Dump Lite $ 349.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 January 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.976   Mega Dump Lite $ 297.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.672   Mega Dump Lite $ 328.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.74   Mega Dump Lite $ 358.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 July 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.533   Mega Dump Lite $ 318.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 May 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.496   Mega Dump Lite $ 318.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 April 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.564   Mega Dump Lite $ 315.89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 November 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.864   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 231.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.963   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 243.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 August 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.766   Mega Dump Lite $ 268.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 November 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.72   Mega Dump Lite $ 223.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 October 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.982   Mega Dump Lite $ 200.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.912   Mega Dump Lite $ 200.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 July 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.981   Mega Dump Lite $ 171.27 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.957   Mega Dump Lite $ 188.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 May 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.958   Mega Dump Lite $ 225.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 April 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.949   Mega Dump Lite $ 252.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
01 March 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.775   Mega Dump Lite $ 251.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
26 January 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.802   Mega Dump Lite $ 240.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
03 December 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.762   Mega Dump Lite $ 231.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 October 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.721   Mega Dump Lite $ 241.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
01 February 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.612   Mega Dump Lite $ 165.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 October 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.85   Mega Dump Lite $ 124.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 September 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.663   Mega Dump Lite $ 121.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 July 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.925   Mega Dump Lite $ 95.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 June 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.794   Mega Dump Lite $ 117.77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 May 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.916   Mega Dump Lite $ 106.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 April 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.991   Mega Dump Lite $ 83.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 March 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.797   Mega Dump Lite $ 131.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
14 October 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.814   Mega Dump Lite $ 118.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 September 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.825   Mega Dump Lite $ 127.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
08 August 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.759   Mega Dump Lite $ 125.19 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
17 May 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.681   Mega Dump Lite $ 120.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 April 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.724   Mega Dump Lite $ 125.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
13 March 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.798   Mega Dump Lite $ 128.25 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
15 January 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.947   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 128.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
13 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.931   Mega Dump Lite $ 133.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.955   Mega Dump Lite $ 126.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
17 October 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.832   Mega Dump Lite $ 74.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 August 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.799   Mega Dump Lite $ 76.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 December 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.675   Mega Dump Lite $ 70.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 November 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.709   Mega Dump Lite $ 76.27 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 February 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.992   Mega Dump Lite $ 67.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
22 January 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.974   Mega Dump Lite $ 63.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for HCA Healthcare Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: HCA) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 15 May 2026.