Graco Inc (GGG) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to GGG's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 7.72%.   Win rate: 87.88%.   Sharpe Ratio: -6.929.   Maximum drawdown: -24.32% on 17 June 2022.
Mean CAGR: 112%. Time in market: 3823 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3551.82 on 06 November 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Graco

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 33 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (87.88% * 8.32%) + (12.12% * 3.40%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.72%.
Wins: 29 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Graco Analysis

Market sector: Industrials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
06 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.592   Mega Dump Lite $ 80.06 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.791   Mega Dump Lite $ 84.94 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 May 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.712   Mega Dump Lite $ 86.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule
10 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.979   Mega Dump Lite $ 77.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
03 May 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.64   Mega Dump Lite $ 81.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.814   Mega Dump Lite $ 74.37 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.82   Mega Dump Lite $ 77.60 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 August 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.471   Mega Dump Lite $ 79.27 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 October 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.951   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 60.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.867   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 64.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.937   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 60.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 May 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.986   Mega Dump Lite $ 60.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 April 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.826   Mega Dump Lite $ 67.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 January 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.805   Mega Dump Lite $ 71.55 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 December 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.525   Mega Dump Lite $ 75.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 October 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.519   Mega Dump Lite $ 70.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
08 March 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.617   Mega Dump Lite $ 66.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 February 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.686   Mega Dump Lite $ 70.46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 July 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.569   Mega Dump Lite $ 52.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 June 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.835   Mega Dump Lite $ 48.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 May 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.741   Mega Dump Lite $ 46.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 April 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.978   Mega Dump Lite $ 46.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 March 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.887   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 51.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 September 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.725   Mega Dump Lite $ 45.85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 August 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.737   Mega Dump Lite $ 46.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 June 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.929   Mega Dump Lite $ 46.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.871   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 39.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.874   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 42.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.519   Mega Dump Lite $ 39.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 March 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.602   Mega Dump Lite $ 45.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 February 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.919   Mega Dump Lite $ 41.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 August 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.541   Mega Dump Lite $ 23.39 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 July 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.94   Mega Dump Lite $ 25.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
07 June 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.737   Mega Dump Lite $ 25.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 May 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.214   Mega Dump Lite $ 24.66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
22 February 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.997   Mega Dump Lite $ 24.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
19 January 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.987   Mega Dump Lite $ 20.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Graco Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: GGG) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 15 May 2026.