GFL Environmental Inc (GFL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to GFL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 6.87%.   Win rate: 86.67%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.211.   Maximum drawdown: -38.76% on 13 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 121.54%. Time in market: 3981 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2125.78 on 04 June 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for GFL Environmental

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 30 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (86.67% * 8.70%) + (10.0% * 2.34%) - (3.33% * 27.07%) = 6.87%.
Wins: 26 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

GFL Environmental Analysis

Market sector: Industrials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
01 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.544   Mega Dump Lite $ 39.52 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 March 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.523   Mega Dump Lite $ 39.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
10 April 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.78   Mega Dump Lite $ 47.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
15 October 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.864   Mega Dump Lite $ 40.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 September 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.892   Mega Dump Lite $ 40.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 May 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.681   Mega Dump Lite $ 33.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 December 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.901   Mega Dump Lite $ 32.89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 November 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.633   Mega Dump Lite $ 29.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 October 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.952   Mega Dump Lite $ 30.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 September 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.961   Mega Dump Lite $ 32.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 August 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.644   Mega Dump Lite $ 33.39 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 November 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.802   Mega Dump Lite $ 26.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.982   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 25.93 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 August 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.895   Mega Dump Lite $ 28.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 July 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.969   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 25.57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.974   Mega Dump Lite $ 30.73 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 April 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.605   Mega Dump Lite $ 30.96 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 March 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.648   Mega Dump Lite $ 31.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 February 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.623   Mega Dump Lite $ 28.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
18 January 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.741   Mega Dump Lite $ 33.77 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 December 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.673   Mega Dump Lite $ 36.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 November 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.58   Mega Dump Lite $ 39.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 June 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.794   Mega Dump Lite $ 31.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 May 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.727   Mega Dump Lite $ 32.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 April 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.547   Mega Dump Lite $ 33.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 March 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.79   Mega Dump Lite $ 31.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 February 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.949   Mega Dump Lite $ 29.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 November 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.932   Mega Dump Lite $ 27.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 October 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.986   Mega Dump Lite $ 21.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 September 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.966   Mega Dump Lite $ 21.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 August 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.756   Mega Dump Lite $ 19.29 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 July 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.97   Mega Dump Lite $ 19.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 June 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.91   Mega Dump Lite $ 18.70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 April 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.753   Mega Dump Lite $ 15.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.728   Mega Dump Lite $ 14.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for GFL Environmental Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: GFL) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 03 Mar 2020 - 15 May 2026.