Deere & Company (DE) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to DE's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.06%.   Win rate: 91.30%.   Sharpe Ratio: -8.317.   Maximum drawdown: -33.07% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 125.86%. Time in market: 4773 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $6712.04 on 19 March 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Deere & Company

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 46 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (91.30% * 8.66%) + (8.70% * 1.84%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.06%.
Wins: 42 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Deere & Company Analysis

Market sector: Industrials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
15 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.68   Mega Dump Lite $ 566.94 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 April 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.453   Mega Dump Lite $ 603.75 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.764   Mega Dump Lite $ 592.40 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 May 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.861   Mega Dump Lite $ 497.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
09 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.976   Mega Dump Lite $ 430.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.95   Mega Dump Lite $ 475.42 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.465   Mega Dump Lite $ 431.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 September 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.778   Mega Dump Lite $ 383.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 August 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.712   Mega Dump Lite $ 345.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 July 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.447   Mega Dump Lite $ 362.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 May 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.761   Mega Dump Lite $ 372.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 February 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.472   Mega Dump Lite $ 361.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.842   Mega Dump Lite $ 365.17 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.587   Mega Dump Lite $ 376.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 August 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.644   Mega Dump Lite $ 386.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 June 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.946   Mega Dump Lite $ 361.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 April 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.717   Mega Dump Lite $ 388.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 March 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.876   Mega Dump Lite $ 401.69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
25 October 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.901   Mega Dump Lite $ 387.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
21 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.893   Mega Dump Lite $ 355.06 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 August 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.877   Mega Dump Lite $ 344.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 July 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.972   Mega Dump Lite $ 304.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.942   Mega Dump Lite $ 363.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 May 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.793   Mega Dump Lite $ 387.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 March 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.939   Mega Dump Lite $ 414.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 February 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.741   Mega Dump Lite $ 354.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 October 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.875   Mega Dump Lite $ 347.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 September 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.582   Mega Dump Lite $ 348.25 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 June 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.818   Mega Dump Lite $ 352.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 May 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.686   Mega Dump Lite $ 360.45 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
17 July 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.628   Mega Dump Lite $ 175.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 June 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.76   Mega Dump Lite $ 151.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 May 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.907   Mega Dump Lite $ 132.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 April 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.978   Mega Dump Lite $ 146.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.977   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 150.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 February 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.937   Mega Dump Lite $ 162.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 December 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.747   Mega Dump Lite $ 164.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
10 September 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.768   Mega Dump Lite $ 159.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
08 August 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.79   Mega Dump Lite $ 151.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
25 June 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.444   Mega Dump Lite $ 163.73 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 May 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.686   Mega Dump Lite $ 135.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 January 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.926   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 149.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
04 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.649   Mega Dump Lite $ 151.81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.777   Mega Dump Lite $ 131.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 July 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.646   Mega Dump Lite $ 137.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 June 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.735   Mega Dump Lite $ 135.35 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 May 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.413   Mega Dump Lite $ 150.81 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 April 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.73   Mega Dump Lite $ 143.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 March 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.674   Mega Dump Lite $ 154.41 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 February 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.802   Mega Dump Lite $ 153.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 September 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.592   Mega Dump Lite $ 117.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 August 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.707   Mega Dump Lite $ 110.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 September 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.502   Mega Dump Lite $ 76.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 June 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.683   Mega Dump Lite $ 75.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 May 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.651   Mega Dump Lite $ 74.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 April 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.272   Mega Dump Lite $ 70.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 January 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.974   Mega Dump Lite $ 68.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Deere & Company (exchange: XNYS symbol: DE) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 15 May 2026.