Capital One Financial Corp (COF) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to COF's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 5.96%.   Win rate: 88.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -3.658.   Maximum drawdown: -54.82% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 131.52%. Time in market: 7439 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $5641.08 on 12 December 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Capital One

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 50 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (88.00% * 8.66%) + (6.00% * 0.31%) - (6.00% * 28.00%) = 5.96%.
Wins: 44 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Capital One Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
06 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.583   Mega Dump Lite $ 192.82 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.816   Mega Dump Lite $ 177.93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
24 February 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.916   Mega Dump Lite $ 193.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
23 January 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.793   Mega Dump Lite $ 220.54 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 December 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.749   Mega Dump Lite $ 245.88 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.752   Mega Dump Lite $ 199.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.811   Mega Dump Lite $ 215.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
23 June 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.723   Mega Dump Lite $ 199.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 May 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.759   Mega Dump Lite $ 196.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.979   Mega Dump Lite $ 163.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.959   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 168.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.638   Mega Dump Lite $ 178.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 September 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.678   Mega Dump Lite $ 139.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 August 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.783   Mega Dump Lite $ 133.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.941   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 100.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.595   Mega Dump Lite $ 96.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 August 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.694   Mega Dump Lite $ 100.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 June 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.648   Mega Dump Lite $ 109.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
09 May 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.631   Mega Dump Lite $ 86.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 April 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.624   Mega Dump Lite $ 97.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 March 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.507   Mega Dump Lite $ 109.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 January 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.557   Mega Dump Lite $ 115.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 December 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.906   Mega Dump Lite $ 90.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 November 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.765   Mega Dump Lite $ 101.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
11 October 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.982   Mega Dump Lite $ 93.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 September 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.867   Mega Dump Lite $ 107.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
15 July 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.971   Mega Dump Lite $ 107.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
13 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.958   Mega Dump Lite $ 108.01 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 May 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.943   Mega Dump Lite $ 122.45 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 April 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.943   Mega Dump Lite $ 129.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
07 March 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.984   Mega Dump Lite $ 128.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
01 February 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.889   Mega Dump Lite $ 148.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 December 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.784   Mega Dump Lite $ 139.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
16 November 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.857   Mega Dump Lite $ 155.16 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
15 October 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.753   Mega Dump Lite $ 168.19 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
13 September 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.624   Mega Dump Lite $ 158.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 June 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.74   Mega Dump Lite $ 155.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
05 April 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.51   Mega Dump Lite $ 131.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 March 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.471   Mega Dump Lite $ 123.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 January 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.604   Mega Dump Lite $ 105.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 November 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.574   Mega Dump Lite $ 84.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 October 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.74   Mega Dump Lite $ 78.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 September 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.828   Mega Dump Lite $ 73.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 August 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.874   Mega Dump Lite $ 68.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 July 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.711   Mega Dump Lite $ 61.57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 June 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.733   Mega Dump Lite $ 77.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 May 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.939   Mega Dump Lite $ 62.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 April 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.994   Mega Dump Lite $ 47.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.729   Mega Dump Lite $ 88.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
14 October 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.81   Mega Dump Lite $ 87.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 September 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.772   Mega Dump Lite $ 90.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
08 August 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.726   Mega Dump Lite $ 87.31 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 January 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.811   Mega Dump Lite $ 77.35 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.957   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 71.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.8   Mega Dump Lite $ 86.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 May 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.702   Mega Dump Lite $ 86.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
19 March 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.556   Mega Dump Lite $ 94.85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 February 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.877   Mega Dump Lite $ 91.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 March 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.769   Mega Dump Lite $ 79.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
15 July 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.459   Mega Dump Lite $ 63.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.702   Mega Dump Lite $ 64.19 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 May 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.532   Mega Dump Lite $ 65.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 January 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.994   Mega Dump Lite $ 57.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 December 2015   LOW   smart_toy0.437   Mega Dump Lite $ 67.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Capital One Financial Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: COF) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 15 May 2026.