Chewy Inc (CHWY) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to CHWY's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: -0.59%.   Win rate: 84.21%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.707.   Maximum drawdown: -75.94% on 21 September 2023.
Mean CAGR: 155.71%. Time in market: 3149 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $164.42 on 30 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Chewy

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 19 signal(s) occurring before 19 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (84.21% * 9.48%) + (0% * 0%) - (15.79% * 54.30%) = -0.59%.
Wins: 16 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Chewy Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Mega Dump Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Mega Dump entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
26 May 2026  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.559   Mega Dump $ 20.95 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 February 2026  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.918   Mega Dump $ 25.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
07 August 2024  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.811   Mega Dump $ 22.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 January 2024   HIGH   smart_toy0.965   Mega Dump $ 19.36 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 October 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.974   FIRE SALE Mega Dump $ 18.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 August 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.918   FIRE SALE Mega Dump $ 26.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 February 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.811   Mega Dump $ 48.18 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 January 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.672   Mega Dump $ 36.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 September 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.819   Mega Dump $ 34.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 June 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.997   Mega Dump $ 28.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 May 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.998   FIRE SALE Mega Dump $ 29.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 March 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.932   Mega Dump $ 51.59 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 February 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.983   Mega Dump $ 40.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 January 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.979   Mega Dump $ 42.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 December 2021  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.637   Mega Dump $ 55.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
17 September 2021  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.595   Mega Dump $ 75.54 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
13 April 2021  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.663   Mega Dump $ 85.09 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
11 March 2021  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.812   Mega Dump $ 85.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
20 October 2020  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.755   Mega Dump $ 68.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 September 2020  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.854   Mega Dump $ 54.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 March 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.992   Mega Dump $ 26.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 October 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.685   Mega Dump $ 25.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Chewy Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: CHWY) was last updated 27 May 2026 07:48. Data for this stock is available from 14 Jun 2019 - 26 May 2026.