Black Hills Corporation (BKH) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to BKH's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 12.33%.   Win rate: 66.67%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.177.
Mean CAGR of winning trades: 53.4%. Time in market: 1850 days.   Average win: 19.03% Average loss: -1.09%.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Black Hills

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 6 signal(s): (66.67% * 19.03%) - (33.33% * 1.09%) = 12.33%.
Wins: 4 Losses: 2

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Black Hills Analysis

Market sector: Utilities.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Rate of Change Backtest Summary (Trailing Stops System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Rate of Change entry signal and held until the initial 20% stop loss or the trailing stop loss was triggered.

Key:   electric_bolt : high CAGR trade schedule : open trade

Signal Date Price CAGR Profit / Loss Running Avg
13 November 2017 bubble_chart   MEDIUM   $53.49 14.00% electric_bolt 35.06% 35.06 %
19 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.998 $50.87 172.73%
electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14.42% 24.74 %
28 September 2021   HIGH   $62.72 13.50% electric_bolt 9.48% 19.65 %
22 June 2022 bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.991 $68.10 -5.18% -1.53% 14.36 %
14 October 2022 bubble_chart   HIGH   $62.20 -1.72% -0.64% 11.36 %
06 October 2023 bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.978 $47.50 13.37% electric_bolt 17.18% 12.33 %

 

The data for Black Hills Corporation (exchange: XNYS symbol: BKH) was last updated 10 Apr 2026 04:50. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 09 Apr 2026.