Autozone Inc (AZO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to AZO's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 30.41%.   Win rate: 83.33%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.45.
Mean CAGR of winning trades: 30.24%. Time in market: 1698 days.   Average win: 38.72% Average loss: -11.13%.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Autozone

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 6 signal(s): (83.33% * 38.72%) - (16.67% * 11.13%) = 30.41%.
Wins: 5 Losses: 1

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Autozone Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Rate of Change Backtest Summary (Trailing Stops System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Rate of Change entry signal and held until the initial 20% stop loss or the trailing stop loss was triggered.

Key:   electric_bolt : high CAGR trade schedule : open trade

Signal Date Price CAGR Profit / Loss Running Avg
26 May 2017   HIGH   $610.31 11.21% electric_bolt 8.40% 8.4 %
11 July 2017   HIGH   $503.78 61.53%
electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
35.28% 21.84 %
25 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.991 $832.90 57.27%
electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
130.17% 57.95 %
08 June 2023 bubble_chart   LOW   $2332.52 20.59% electric_bolt 19.61% 48.36 %
05 November 2025 bubble_chart   LOW   $3672.84 -50.63% -11.13% 36.46 %
22 December 2025 bubble_chart   LOW   $3397.80 0.59% schedule 0.16% 30.41 %

 

The data for Autozone Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: AZO) was last updated 10 Apr 2026 04:49. Data for this stock is available from 04 Jan 2016 - 09 Apr 2026.