American Water Works Co. Inc (AWK) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to AWK's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 6.06%.   Win rate: 81.82%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.229.   Maximum drawdown: -30.96% on 23 October 2023.
Mean CAGR: 87.28%. Time in market: 3725 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1619.85 on 16 September 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for American Water Works

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 22 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (81.82% * 8.36%) + (13.64% * 1.26%) - (4.55% * 21.00%) = 6.06%.
Wins: 18 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

American Water Works Analysis

Market sector: Utilities.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
01 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.596   50 Day Low $ 128.43 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 February 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.684   50 Day Low $ 126.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
29 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.745   50 Day Low $ 131.96 select_check_box schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 September 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.584   50 Day Low $ 138.89 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 May 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.891   50 Day Low $ 135.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
16 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.68   50 Day Low $ 129.19 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.692   50 Day Low $ 133.15 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
07 October 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.817   50 Day Low $ 139.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 April 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.473   50 Day Low $ 114.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 March 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.546   50 Day Low $ 117.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 February 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.688   50 Day Low $ 123.32 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 September 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.835   50 Day Low $ 134.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 August 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.776   50 Day Low $ 138.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 June 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.826   50 Day Low $ 138.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 February 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.709   50 Day Low $ 148.94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.969   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 143.11 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
13 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.864   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 143.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
09 May 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.922   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 146.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
15 February 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.889   50 Day Low $ 148.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 January 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.756   50 Day Low $ 165.70 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 November 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.79   50 Day Low $ 167.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
25 February 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.824   50 Day Low $ 147.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.979   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 116.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 October 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.792   50 Day Low $ 118.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 September 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.538   50 Day Low $ 83.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 June 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.643   50 Day Low $ 76.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 January 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.799   50 Day Low $ 82.15 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 January 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.926   50 Day Low $ 66.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 October 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.567   50 Day Low $ 67.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 August 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.459   50 Day Low $ 70.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for American Water Works Co. Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: AWK) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Mar 2016 - 15 May 2026.