A.O. Smith Corp (AOS) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to AOS's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 6.82%.   Win rate: 89.74%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.934.   Maximum drawdown: -38.92% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 145.35%. Time in market: 4977 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2952.82 on 14 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for A.O. Smith Corp

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 39 signal(s) occurring before 30 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (89.74% * 8.76%) + (5.13% * 0.86%) - (5.13% * 21.30%) = 6.82%.
Wins: 35 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

A.O. Smith Corp Analysis

Market sector: Basic Materials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
23 April 2026   LOW     smart_toy0.915 Mega Dump Lite $ 65.14 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 March 2026   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.874 Mega Dump Lite $ 65.32 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 July 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.923 Mega Dump Lite $ 68.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box schedule
04 June 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.983 Mega Dump Lite $ 64.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 April 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.977 Mega Dump Lite $ 63.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 March 2025   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.961 Mega Dump Lite $ 66.83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
11 February 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.978 Mega Dump Lite $ 65.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 December 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.935 Mega Dump Lite $ 68.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 November 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.906 Mega Dump Lite $ 71.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 October 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.906 Mega Dump Lite $ 80.80 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
27 August 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.872 Mega Dump Lite $ 81.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
26 July 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.706 Mega Dump Lite $ 84.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
31 October 2023   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.936 Mega Dump Lite $ 69.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 September 2023   HIGH     smart_toy0.794 Mega Dump Lite $ 65.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.77 Mega Dump Lite $ 57.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 October 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.99 Mega Dump Lite $ 50.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 September 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.929 Mega Dump Lite $ 54.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 August 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.891 Mega Dump Lite $ 63.22 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
11 July 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.973 Mega Dump Lite $ 56.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 June 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.977 Mega Dump Lite $ 61.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 May 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.968 Mega Dump Lite $ 60.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 March 2022   HIGH     smart_toy0.948 Mega Dump Lite $ 68.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 January 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.933 Mega Dump Lite $ 75.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 October 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.91 Mega Dump Lite $ 66.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.705 Mega Dump Lite $ 64.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 June 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.846 Mega Dump Lite $ 67.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 February 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.869 Mega Dump Lite $ 55.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 November 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.821 Mega Dump Lite $ 52.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 August 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.896 Mega Dump Lite $ 49.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 July 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.617 Mega Dump Lite $ 50.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 June 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.812 Mega Dump Lite $ 47.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 May 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.89 Mega Dump Lite $ 42.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 April 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.965 Mega Dump Lite $ 39.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 March 2020   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.989 Mega Dump Lite $ 41.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 February 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.873 Mega Dump Lite $ 43.33 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 January 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.683 Mega Dump Lite $ 46.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 December 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.717 Mega Dump Lite $ 47.39 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 October 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.811 Mega Dump Lite $ 48.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 September 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.872 Mega Dump Lite $ 46.91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
29 July 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.913 Mega Dump Lite $ 43.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
25 June 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.923 Mega Dump Lite $ 45.03 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 May 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.9 Mega Dump Lite $ 43.29 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 January 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.937 Mega Dump Lite $ 45.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2018   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.991 Mega Dump Lite $ 41.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2018   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.951 Mega Dump Lite $ 44.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 October 2018   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.898 Mega Dump Lite $ 46.65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
03 July 2018   HIGH     smart_toy0.801 Mega Dump Lite $ 56.98 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
13 February 2018   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.886 Mega Dump Lite $ 59.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 November 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.926 Mega Dump Lite $ 43.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 February 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.981 Mega Dump Lite $ 32.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 January 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.994 Mega Dump Lite $ 29.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for A.O. Smith Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: AOS) was last updated 08 May 2026 01:35. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 07 May 2026.