Prospect Capital Corp (PSEC) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to PSEC's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.90%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 3.589.   Maximum drawdown: -26.21% on 22 April 2020.
Mean CAGR: 161.87%. Time in market: 742 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1621.77 on 07 June 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Prospect Capital

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 15 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.90%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.90%.
Wins: 15 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Prospect Capital Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
14 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.845   Super Oversold (52) $ 2.22 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.639   Super Oversold (52) $ 2.36 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 December 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.821   Super Oversold (52) $ 2.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.848   Super Oversold (26) $ 2.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
22 September 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.87   Super Oversold (RoC) $ 2.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
18 September 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.882   Super Oversold (52) $ 2.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
07 August 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.789   Super Oversold (26) $ 2.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule
05 August 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.894   Super Oversold (26) $ 2.90 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 June 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.948   Super Oversold (26) $ 3.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
29 May 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.922   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (RoC) $ 3.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
29 May 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.922   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 3.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
23 May 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.88   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 3.35 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.973   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 3.54 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.973   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 3.54 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.986   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 3.83 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.945   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 4.00 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.743   Super Oversold (26) $ 4.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
08 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.524   Super Oversold (26) $ 4.66 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 May 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.826   Super Oversold (26) $ 5.63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
03 May 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.815   Super Oversold (52) $ 5.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
02 May 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.75   Super Oversold (52) $ 5.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
26 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.989   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 6.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
17 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.973   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 6.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.944   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (RoC) $ 6.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
16 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.944   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 6.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
23 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.991   Super Oversold (MD) $ 4.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.998   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 4.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.996   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 4.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.991   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 4.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.991   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (RoC) $ 4.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 October 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.756   Super Oversold (26) $ 4.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 August 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.823   Super Oversold (RoC) $ 4.81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
29 August 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.794   Super Oversold (26) $ 4.91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Prospect Capital Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: PSEC) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 15 May 2026.