PepsiCo Inc (PEP) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to PEP's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 6.93%.   Win rate: 85.71%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.845.   Maximum drawdown: -27.52% on 26 June 2025.
Mean CAGR: 80.34%. Time in market: 1665 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2153.25 on 04 September 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for PepsiCo

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 14 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (85.71% * 7.98%) + (14.29% * 0.62%) - (0% * 0%) = 6.93%.
Wins: 12 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

PepsiCo Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
11 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.859   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 151.90 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
06 January 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.595   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 139.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 June 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.509   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 130.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 May 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.822   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 130.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.961   FIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 142.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.54   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 158.49 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.591   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 165.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 July 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.5   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 162.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
05 March 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.551   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 163.63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.826   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 170.81 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 August 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.794   FIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 176.55 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 October 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.943   FIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 164.29 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
08 March 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.985   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 160.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 February 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.948   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 134.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 February 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.862   FIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 130.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 August 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.755   FIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 122.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
04 October 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.589   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 101.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 April 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.635   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 99.05 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 February 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.693   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 100.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 September 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.531   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 102.49 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
10 November 2016   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.796   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 93.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 January 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.984   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 82.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for PepsiCo Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: PEP) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 15 May 2026.