NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results laptop_car

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to NVDA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.70%.   Win rate: 96.43%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.219.   Maximum drawdown: -61.45% on 13 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 179.59%. Time in market: 2013 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $6580.13 on 22 February 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for NVIDIA

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 28 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (96.43% * 9.00%) + (3.57% * 0.48%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.70%.
Wins: 27 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

NVIDIA Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
30 April 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.769   Gap Down $ 204.75 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.902   Gap Down $ 188.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
26 March 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.983   Gap Down $ 116.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 February 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.941   Gap Down $ 137.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 January 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.829   Gap Down $ 146.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
11 July 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.863   Gap Down $ 131.58 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
20 February 2024  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.296   Gap Down $ 70.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 May 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.935   Gap Down $ 38.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 December 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.985   Gap Down $ 17.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 November 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.989   Gap Down $ 13.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 September 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.966   FIRE SALE Gap Down $ 12.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 August 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.984   Gap Down $ 17.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 July 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.994   Gap Down $ 17.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 May 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.985   FIRE SALE Gap Down $ 19.33 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
23 February 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.848   Gap Down $ 23.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 December 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.932   Gap Down $ 29.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 November 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.931   Gap Down $ 29.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
15 July 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.828   Gap Down $ 19.35 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 January 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.9   Gap Down $ 13.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 September 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.931   Gap Down $ 13.39 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 January 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.626   Gap Down $ 5.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 April 2019  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.797   Gap Down $ 4.45 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
28 January 2019  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.996   Gap Down $ 3.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 December 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.989   FIRE SALE Gap Down $ 3.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 June 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.948   Gap Down $ 6.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
05 February 2018  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.684   Gap Down $ 5.45 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 November 2017  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.907   Gap Down $ 5.03 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 September 2017  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.878   Gap Down $ 4.31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 June 2017  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.869   Gap Down $ 3.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 February 2017  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.419   Gap Down $ 2.73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 December 2016  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.829   Gap Down $ 2.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 September 2016  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.967   Gap Down $ 1.49 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 June 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.923   Gap Down $ 1.13 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 January 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.937   Gap Down $ 0.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for NVIDIA Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: NVDA) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 15 May 2026.