LKQ Corp (LKQ) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to LKQ's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 4.51%.   Win rate: 85.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.374.   Maximum drawdown: -53.86% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 123.91%. Time in market: 6234 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1096.01 on 20 April 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for LKQ Corp

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 40 signal(s) occurring before 30 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (85.00% * 8.78%) + (5.00% * 3.21%) - (10.0% * 31.10%) = 4.51%.
Wins: 34 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 4

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

LKQ Corp Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 May 2026   LOW     smart_toy0.629 Mega Dump Lite $ 28.86 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 March 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.751 Mega Dump Lite $ 28.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
03 February 2026   LOW     smart_toy0.622 Mega Dump Lite $ 32.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
25 November 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.747 Mega Dump Lite $ 29.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
19 August 2025   LOW     smart_toy0.69 Mega Dump Lite $ 31.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
18 July 2025   LOW     smart_toy0.583 Mega Dump Lite $ 37.40 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 June 2025   LOW     smart_toy0.776 Mega Dump Lite $ 38.22 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 May 2025   LOW     smart_toy0.79 Mega Dump Lite $ 42.12 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 April 2025   LOW     smart_toy0.963 Mega Dump Lite $ 41.13 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 October 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.725 Mega Dump Lite $ 38.95 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
03 September 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.825 Mega Dump Lite $ 41.34 select_check_box schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 July 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.494 Mega Dump Lite $ 40.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule
21 May 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.562 Mega Dump Lite $ 44.58 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 April 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.639 Mega Dump Lite $ 48.94 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 December 2023   LOW     smart_toy0.645 Mega Dump Lite $ 44.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
03 November 2023   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.861 Mega Dump Lite $ 44.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 August 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.801 Mega Dump Lite $ 52.96 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 June 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.93 Mega Dump Lite $ 52.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 April 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.604 Mega Dump Lite $ 56.43 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 March 2023   LOW     smart_toy0.922 Mega Dump Lite $ 53.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 October 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.94 Mega Dump Lite $ 52.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
20 September 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.745 Mega Dump Lite $ 49.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
22 June 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.98 Mega Dump Lite $ 47.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 March 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.89 Mega Dump Lite $ 46.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 February 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.865 Mega Dump Lite $ 47.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
25 January 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.881 Mega Dump Lite $ 54.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 June 2021   LOW     smart_toy0.735 Mega Dump Lite $ 48.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 February 2021   LOW     smart_toy0.795 Mega Dump Lite $ 36.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 November 2020   LOW     smart_toy0.748 Mega Dump Lite $ 32.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 September 2020   LOW     smart_toy0.588 Mega Dump Lite $ 27.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 July 2020   LOW     smart_toy0.615 Mega Dump Lite $ 25.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 June 2020   LOW     smart_toy0.738 Mega Dump Lite $ 28.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 May 2020   LOW     smart_toy0.737 Mega Dump Lite $ 26.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 April 2020   LOW     smart_toy0.991 Mega Dump Lite $ 19.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.803 Mega Dump Lite $ 29.45 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
07 October 2019   LOW     smart_toy0.719 Mega Dump Lite $ 30.35 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
27 August 2019   LOW     smart_toy0.726 Mega Dump Lite $ 25.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 July 2019   LOW     smart_toy0.594 Mega Dump Lite $ 26.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 June 2019   LOW     smart_toy0.88 Mega Dump Lite $ 26.31 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 May 2019   LOW     smart_toy0.783 Mega Dump Lite $ 27.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 January 2019   LOW     smart_toy0.786 Mega Dump Lite $ 26.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 December 2018   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.977 Mega Dump Lite $ 24.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.898 Mega Dump Lite $ 27.94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 October 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.739 Mega Dump Lite $ 29.05 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 June 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.828 Mega Dump Lite $ 32.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 May 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.877 Mega Dump Lite $ 30.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
13 February 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.886 Mega Dump Lite $ 40.24 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 April 2017   LOW     smart_toy0.492 Mega Dump Lite $ 28.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2017   LOW     smart_toy0.772 Mega Dump Lite $ 30.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 January 2017   LOW     smart_toy0.982 Mega Dump Lite $ 31.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
21 November 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.96 Mega Dump Lite $ 32.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 October 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.65 Mega Dump Lite $ 33.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 June 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.553 Mega Dump Lite $ 31.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for LKQ Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: LKQ) was last updated 08 May 2026 01:35. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 07 May 2026.