LKQ Corp (LKQ) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to LKQ's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.23%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 11.187.   Maximum drawdown: -38.94% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 78.42%. Time in market: 605 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1596.25 on 17 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for LKQ Corp

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 7 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.23%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.23%.
Wins: 7 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

LKQ Corp Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
04 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.584   52 Week Low $ 28.12 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.882   52 Week Low $ 28.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
20 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.795   52 Week Low $ 28.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 October 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.628   52 Week Low $ 29.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 July 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.751   52 Week Low $ 32.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule
17 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.815   52 Week Low $ 36.73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
08 October 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.733   52 Week Low $ 38.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
25 July 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.532   52 Week Low $ 39.73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box schedule
29 May 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.537   52 Week Low $ 42.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
24 April 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.708   52 Week Low $ 42.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.895   52 Week Low $ 47.77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
12 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.993   52 Week Low $ 24.63 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.665   52 Week Low $ 25.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.741   52 Week Low $ 29.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 May 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.939   52 Week Low $ 30.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
03 April 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.671   52 Week Low $ 28.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for LKQ Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: LKQ) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 15 May 2026.