ICF International Inc (ICFI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Rate of Change Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom
Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB Best Buy Signals [ What are these indicators? | Switch to ICFI's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores help.
Expectancy: 10.34%. Win rate: 100%. Sharpe Ratio: 4.85. Maximum drawdown: -16.55% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 253.66%. Time in market: 177 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1575.14 on 25 March 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for ICF International

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 9 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 10.34%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 10.34%.
Wins: 9 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

ICF International Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
14 May 2026 MEDIUM smart_toy0.848	Super Oversold (52)	$ 60.51	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
13 May 2026 MEDIUM smart_toy0.823	Super Oversold (52)	$ 62.08	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
13 March 2026 LOW smart_toy0.964 FIRE SALE	Super Oversold (26)	$ 70.03	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
12 March 2026 MEDIUM smart_toy0.964 FIRE SALE	Super Oversold (RoC)	$ 70.80	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
12 March 2026 MEDIUM smart_toy0.964	Super Oversold (MD)	$ 70.80	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
28 February 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.953	Super Oversold (52)	$ 81.53	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
20 February 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.86	Super Oversold (52)	$ 101.22	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
18 February 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.825	Super Oversold (26)	$ 105.71	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
14 February 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.875	Super Oversold (MD)	$ 108.80	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
06 January 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.966	Super Oversold (26)	$ 117.15	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
13 December 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.764	Super Oversold (MD)	$ 126.00	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
13 December 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.764	Super Oversold (RoC)	$ 126.00	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
12 December 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.712	Super Oversold (GD)	$ 127.49	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
08 March 2022 HIGH smart_toy0.962 FIRE SALE	Super Oversold (RoC)	$ 86.34	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
14 May 2020 MEDIUM smart_toy0.958	Super Oversold (MD)	$ 52.52	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 May 2020 MEDIUM smart_toy0.958 FIRE SALE	Super Oversold (RoC)	$ 52.52	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 May 2020 MEDIUM smart_toy0.898	Super Oversold (MD)	$ 59.32	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 March 2020 HIGH smart_toy0.994 FIRE SALE	Super Oversold (52)	$ 51.63	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020 HIGH smart_toy0.987 FIRE SALE	Super Oversold (GD)	$ 61.87	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020 HIGH smart_toy0.987 FIRE SALE	Super Oversold (26)	$ 61.87	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 December 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.788 FIRE SALE	Super Oversold (26)	$ 60.97	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 March 2017 LOW smart_toy0.94	Super Oversold (GD)	$ 41.38	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt

The data for ICF International Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ICFI) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 15 May 2026.