Horizon Technology Finance Corp (HRZN) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Rate of Change Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom
Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD Best Buy Signals [ What are these indicators? | Switch to HRZN's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores help.
Expectancy: 0.36%. Win rate: 66.67%. Sharpe Ratio: -1.609. Maximum drawdown: -61.41% on 05 March 2026.
Mean CAGR: 74.58%. Time in market: 4584 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $710.63 on 02 March 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Horizon Technology Finance

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 18 signal(s) occurring before 22 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (66.67% * 8.19%) + (16.67% * 0.30%) - (16.67% * 30.87%) = 0.36%.
Wins: 12 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Horizon Technology Finance Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
28 April 2026 HIGH smart_toy0.431	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 3.91	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
27 March 2026 HIGH smart_toy0.977	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 4.20	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
23 February 2026 MEDIUM smart_toy0.828	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 6.33	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
16 October 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.862	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 5.78	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
09 September 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.579	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 6.88	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
08 August 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.759	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 7.07	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
26 June 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.861	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 7.22	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
04 April 2025 MEDIUM FIRE SALE smart_toy0.94	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 8.73	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
16 December 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.897	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 8.90	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule
25 October 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.586	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 10.14	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
23 September 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.776	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 10.63	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
02 August 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.73	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 11.40	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
02 April 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.605	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 11.26	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default
29 February 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.632	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 12.08	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
25 October 2023 MEDIUM FIRE SALE smart_toy0.831	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 11.16	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 September 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.727	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 11.69	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default
10 March 2023 MEDIUM FIRE SALE smart_toy0.601	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 11.21	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
23 September 2022 MEDIUM FIRE SALE smart_toy0.966	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 10.69	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 June 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.916	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 11.61	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
26 April 2022 MEDIUM FIRE SALE smart_toy0.763	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 13.44	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
10 March 2022 HIGH FIRE SALE smart_toy0.977	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 13.50	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
20 January 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.878	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 15.75	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
03 December 2021 MEDIUM smart_toy0.752	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 16.54	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
28 September 2021 MEDIUM smart_toy0.444	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 16.34	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default
25 February 2020 MEDIUM FIRE SALE smart_toy0.646	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 11.76	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
25 October 2018 MEDIUM FIRE SALE smart_toy0.84	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 8.55	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 May 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.672	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 7.96	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
11 August 2017 MEDIUM smart_toy0.768	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 7.71	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
08 March 2017 LOW smart_toy0.582	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 7.38	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
01 November 2016 LOW smart_toy0.867	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 8.41	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box

The data for Horizon Technology Finance Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: HRZN) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 06:53. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 29 Apr 2026.