Horizon Technology Finance Corp (HRZN) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to HRZN's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.12%.   Win rate: 93.33%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.358.   Maximum drawdown: -41.12% on 19 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 129.15%. Time in market: 1333 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1514.43 on 28 October 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Horizon Technology Finance

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 15 signal(s) occurring before 24 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (93.33% * 8.69%) + (6.67% * 0.16%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.12%.
Wins: 14 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Horizon Technology Finance Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 April 2026   HIGH     smart_toy0.517 Super Oversold $ 3.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
24 April 2026   HIGH     smart_toy0.378 Super Oversold $ 3.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
24 April 2026   HIGH     smart_toy0.508 Super Oversold $ 3.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
21 April 2026   HIGH     smart_toy0.541 Super Oversold $ 4.24 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
06 March 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.982 Super Oversold $ 4.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
05 March 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.982 Super Oversold $ 4.66 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 March 2026   HIGH     smart_toy0.982 Super Oversold $ 4.66 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 March 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.982 Super Oversold $ 4.66 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 March 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.964 Super Oversold $ 5.06 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 October 2025   HIGH     smart_toy0.931 Super Oversold $ 5.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
23 September 2025   HIGH     smart_toy0.637 Super Oversold $ 6.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
23 September 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.637 Super Oversold $ 6.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
22 September 2025   HIGH     smart_toy0.633 Super Oversold $ 6.48 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 September 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.633 Super Oversold $ 6.48 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 September 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.637 Super Oversold $ 6.48 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 September 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.606 Super Oversold $ 6.60 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 August 2025   HIGH     smart_toy0.759 Super Oversold $ 7.07 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
01 May 2025   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.994 Super Oversold $ 7.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
01 May 2025   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.994 Super Oversold $ 7.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
09 April 2025   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.983 Super Oversold $ 8.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
08 April 2025   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.983 Super Oversold $ 8.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
07 April 2025   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.983 Super Oversold $ 8.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
07 April 2025   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.983 Super Oversold $ 8.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
04 November 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.661 Super Oversold $ 9.34 select_check_box schedule schedule schedule schedule
31 October 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.667 Super Oversold $ 9.66 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 October 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.667 Super Oversold $ 9.82 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
26 September 2022   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.986 Super Oversold $ 10.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.966 Super Oversold $ 10.69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 June 2022   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.99 Super Oversold $ 10.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 May 2022   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.985 Super Oversold $ 11.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
11 May 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.976 Super Oversold $ 12.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 May 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.938 Super Oversold $ 12.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 May 2022   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.938 Super Oversold $ 12.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 March 2022   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.977 Super Oversold $ 13.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 January 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.933 Super Oversold $ 14.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
18 March 2020   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.983 Super Oversold $ 6.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.988 Super Oversold $ 9.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2020   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.992 Super Oversold $ 9.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 March 2020   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.992 Super Oversold $ 9.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 December 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.97 Super Oversold $ 7.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
04 November 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.789 Super Oversold $ 6.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Horizon Technology Finance Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: HRZN) was last updated 05 May 2026 04:34. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 01 May 2026.