Horizon Technology Finance Corp (HRZN) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to HRZN's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.12%.   Win rate: 93.33%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.358.   Maximum drawdown: -41.12% on 19 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 129.15%. Time in market: 1333 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1514.43 on 28 October 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Horizon Technology Finance

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 15 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (93.33% * 8.69%) + (6.67% * 0.16%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.12%.
Wins: 14 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Horizon Technology Finance Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 April 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.517   Super Oversold (RoC) $ 3.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
24 April 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.508   Super Oversold (MD) $ 3.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
24 April 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.378   Super Oversold (52) $ 3.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
21 April 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.541   Super Oversold (MD) $ 4.24 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
06 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.982   Super Oversold (52) $ 4.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
05 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.982   Super Oversold (52) $ 4.66 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 March 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.982   Super Oversold (26) $ 4.66 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.982   Super Oversold (GD) $ 4.66 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.964   Super Oversold (52) $ 5.06 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 October 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.931   Super Oversold (52) $ 5.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
23 September 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.637   Super Oversold (26) $ 6.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
23 September 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.637   Super Oversold (GD) $ 6.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
22 September 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.633   Super Oversold (RoC) $ 6.48 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 September 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.633   Super Oversold (52) $ 6.48 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 September 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.637   Super Oversold (26) $ 6.48 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 September 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.606   Super Oversold (26) $ 6.60 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 August 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.759   Super Oversold (52) $ 7.07 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
01 May 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.994   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (RoC) $ 7.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
01 May 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.994   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 7.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
09 April 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.983   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 8.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
08 April 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.983   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 8.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
07 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.983   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 8.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
07 April 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.983   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 8.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
04 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.661   Super Oversold (26) $ 9.34 select_check_box schedule schedule schedule schedule
31 October 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.667   Super Oversold (26) $ 9.66 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 October 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.667   Super Oversold (26) $ 9.82 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
26 September 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.986   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 10.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.966   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 10.69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 June 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.99   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 10.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 May 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.985   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (RoC) $ 11.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
11 May 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.976   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 12.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 May 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.938   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (RoC) $ 12.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 May 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.938   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 12.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 March 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.977   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 13.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 January 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.933   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 14.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
18 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.983   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 6.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.988   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 9.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.992   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 9.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.992   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (RoC) $ 9.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 December 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.97   Super Oversold (MD) $ 7.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
04 November 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.789   Super Oversold (GD) $ 6.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Horizon Technology Finance Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: HRZN) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 15 May 2026.