FirstService Corp (FSV) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to FSV's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 6.16%.   Win rate: 55.56%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.77.   Maximum drawdown: -27.18% on 17 June 2022.
Mean CAGR: 119.31%. Time in market: 1897 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1200.58 on 12 July 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for FirstService

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 9 signal(s) occurring before 30 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (55.56% * 10.73%) + (44.44% * 0.44%) - (0% * 0%) = 6.16%.
Wins: 5 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

FirstService Analysis

Market sector: Real Estate.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
23 March 2026   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.583 Super Oversold $ 137.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
20 March 2026   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.741 Super Oversold $ 135.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
06 November 2025   LOW     smart_toy0.624 Super Oversold $ 154.01 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 June 2022   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.743 Super Oversold $ 114.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 May 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.733 Super Oversold $ 122.53 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
18 February 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.879 Super Oversold $ 139.15 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 February 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.838 Super Oversold $ 144.51 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 February 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.838 Super Oversold $ 144.51 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 January 2022   LOW     smart_toy0.888 Super Oversold $ 157.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 May 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.899 Super Oversold $ 78.87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 March 2020   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.908 Super Oversold $ 62.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.935 Super Oversold $ 78.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for FirstService Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: FSV) was last updated 08 May 2026 01:35. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 07 May 2026.