Consolidated Water Co. Ltd (CWCO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to CWCO's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.80%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 1.188.   Maximum drawdown: -17.64% on 30 October 2020.
Mean CAGR: 138.01%. Time in market: 1334 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1795.25 on 09 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Consolidated Water

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 18 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.80%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.80%.
Wins: 18 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Consolidated Water Analysis

Market sector: Utilities.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
15 May 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.802   Super Oversold (RoC) $ 29.06 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
14 May 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.813   Super Oversold (GD) $ 29.66 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 April 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.751   Super Oversold (26) $ 25.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
25 November 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.777   Super Oversold (MD) $ 14.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 February 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.727   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 9.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 January 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.969   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 9.85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 January 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.947   Super Oversold (26) $ 10.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 December 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.59   Super Oversold (26) $ 10.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 October 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.974   Super Oversold (52) $ 10.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 September 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.781   Super Oversold (26) $ 11.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 September 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.781   Super Oversold (MD) $ 11.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 September 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.639   Super Oversold (MD) $ 11.35 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 August 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.809   Super Oversold (26) $ 12.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
10 July 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.894   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 12.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
09 July 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.887   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 12.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
14 May 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.786   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (RoC) $ 13.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 May 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.786   Super Oversold (MD) $ 13.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.974   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 10.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.958   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 11.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 December 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.949   Super Oversold (26) $ 9.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Consolidated Water Co. Ltd (exchange: XNAS symbol: CWCO) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 15 May 2026.