Chord Energy Corp (CHRD) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to CHRD's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.39%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 4.347.   Maximum drawdown: -19.43% on 17 March 2023.
Mean CAGR: 130.19%. Time in market: 822 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1461.84 on 26 March 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Chord Energy

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 10 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.39%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.39%.
Wins: 10 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Chord Energy Analysis

Market sector: Energy.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
15 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.894   Mega Dump Lite $ 146.10 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 April 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.322   Mega Dump Lite $ 135.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
27 January 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.651   Mega Dump Lite $ 96.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 December 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.837   Mega Dump Lite $ 90.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.687   Mega Dump Lite $ 91.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.621   Mega Dump Lite $ 90.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 September 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.741   Mega Dump Lite $ 106.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
14 August 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.846   Mega Dump Lite $ 102.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
01 July 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.593   Mega Dump Lite $ 98.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 May 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.929   Mega Dump Lite $ 91.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.968   Mega Dump Lite $ 94.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.858   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 111.66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 February 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.882   Mega Dump Lite $ 111.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 January 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.976   Mega Dump Lite $ 125.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.816   Mega Dump Lite $ 119.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 October 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.831   Mega Dump Lite $ 130.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 September 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.642   Mega Dump Lite $ 135.73 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 August 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.651   Mega Dump Lite $ 153.07 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 July 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.551   Mega Dump Lite $ 174.56 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 June 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.895   Mega Dump Lite $ 172.48 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 January 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.807   Mega Dump Lite $ 155.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 December 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.549   Mega Dump Lite $ 170.45 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
21 November 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.757   Mega Dump Lite $ 160.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
20 July 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.647   Mega Dump Lite $ 148.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 May 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.889   Mega Dump Lite $ 139.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 April 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.923   Mega Dump Lite $ 142.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 March 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.78   Mega Dump Lite $ 132.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 February 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.962   Mega Dump Lite $ 140.68 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 January 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.977   Mega Dump Lite $ 128.87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 November 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.948   Mega Dump Lite $ 152.22 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Chord Energy Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: CHRD) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 21 Sep 2022 - 15 May 2026.