Baidu Inc (BIDU) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to BIDU's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: -1.14%.   Win rate: 75.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.141.   Maximum drawdown: -75.41% on 31 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 135.54%. Time in market: 8099 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $261.40 on 04 August 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Baidu Inc

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 36 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (75.00% * 9.39%) + (5.56% * 3.17%) - (19.44% * 42.99%) = -1.14%.
Wins: 27 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 7

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Baidu Inc Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 May 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.548   Gap Down $ 141.05 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 April 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.892   Gap Down $ 110.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.839   FIRE SALE Gap Down $ 118.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 December 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.788   Gap Down $ 124.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 October 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.817   Gap Down $ 122.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.799   Gap Down $ 128.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 July 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.628   Gap Down $ 87.77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 May 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.976   Gap Down $ 88.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.889   Gap Down $ 99.79 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
31 January 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.638   Gap Down $ 92.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.642   Gap Down $ 89.21 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.621   Gap Down $ 89.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 October 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.886   Gap Down $ 108.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
22 August 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.783   Gap Down $ 86.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 July 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.456   Gap Down $ 94.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 February 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.441   Gap Down $ 105.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.958   Gap Down $ 130.87 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 August 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.592   Gap Down $ 147.84 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
29 June 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.701   Gap Down $ 135.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
18 May 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.9   Gap Down $ 126.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 March 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.567   Gap Down $ 144.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
03 February 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.705   Gap Down $ 145.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 November 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.797   Gap Down $ 96.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 October 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.979   FIRE SALE Gap Down $ 116.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 August 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.738   Gap Down $ 142.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 June 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.891   Gap Down $ 148.03 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 May 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.836   Gap Down $ 125.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 March 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.953   Gap Down $ 135.31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
18 February 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.723   Gap Down $ 160.41 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
13 January 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.922   Gap Down $ 154.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
03 December 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.47   Gap Down $ 139.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
20 September 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.898   Gap Down $ 156.31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
06 July 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.642   Gap Down $ 189.25 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
10 May 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.845   Gap Down $ 186.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
24 March 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.541   Gap Down $ 248.66 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
17 February 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.584   Gap Down $ 313.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 January 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.497   Gap Down $ 208.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.701   Gap Down $ 137.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 October 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.774   Gap Down $ 131.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 August 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.782   Gap Down $ 117.57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.974   FIRE SALE Gap Down $ 98.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 September 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.682   Gap Down $ 100.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 August 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.863   Gap Down $ 102.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 January 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.933   Gap Down $ 163.87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
17 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.974   Gap Down $ 173.22 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 August 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.659   Gap Down $ 231.53 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 May 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.596   Gap Down $ 257.70 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
27 October 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.753   Gap Down $ 240.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
28 April 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.607   Gap Down $ 180.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.572   Gap Down $ 178.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 May 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.664   Gap Down $ 182.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Baidu Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: BIDU) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 15 May 2026.