AMGEN Inc (AMGN) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to AMGN's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.42%.   Win rate: 97.56%.   Sharpe Ratio: -5.615.   Maximum drawdown: -20.04% on 02 June 2023.
Mean CAGR: 127.39%. Time in market: 3595 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $5397.13 on 03 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for AMGEN Inc

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 41 signal(s) occurring before 30 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (97.56% * 8.62%) + (2.44% * 0.41%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.42%.
Wins: 40 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

AMGEN Inc Analysis

Market sector: Biotech.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 May 2026   LOW     smart_toy0.644 Mega Dump Lite $ 329.74 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
25 March 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.742 Mega Dump Lite $ 352.34 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 December 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.642 Mega Dump Lite $ 323.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
13 August 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.779 Mega Dump Lite $ 287.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 May 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.84 Mega Dump Lite $ 271.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 April 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.977 Mega Dump Lite $ 290.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 December 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.6 Mega Dump Lite $ 263.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 November 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.883 Mega Dump Lite $ 289.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 April 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.723 Mega Dump Lite $ 267.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 March 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.501 Mega Dump Lite $ 281.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
23 February 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.698 Mega Dump Lite $ 287.85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
02 November 2023   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.922 Mega Dump Lite $ 260.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 June 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.877 Mega Dump Lite $ 213.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 May 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.639 Mega Dump Lite $ 227.33 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 February 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.541 Mega Dump Lite $ 243.43 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
04 January 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.716 Mega Dump Lite $ 263.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 October 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.939 Mega Dump Lite $ 249.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
19 September 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.729 Mega Dump Lite $ 230.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 July 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.863 Mega Dump Lite $ 248.53 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
07 June 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.934 Mega Dump Lite $ 245.53 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
05 May 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.759 Mega Dump Lite $ 234.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
29 March 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.927 Mega Dump Lite $ 241.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
23 February 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.739 Mega Dump Lite $ 221.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 September 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.627 Mega Dump Lite $ 216.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
13 August 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.788 Mega Dump Lite $ 229.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 May 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.519 Mega Dump Lite $ 243.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 March 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.769 Mega Dump Lite $ 230.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
08 February 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.77 Mega Dump Lite $ 237.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
04 December 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.67 Mega Dump Lite $ 227.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
02 November 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.752 Mega Dump Lite $ 219.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
13 August 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.778 Mega Dump Lite $ 237.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 April 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.986 Mega Dump Lite $ 202.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2020   HIGH     smart_toy0.806 Mega Dump Lite $ 206.01 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 January 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.862 Mega Dump Lite $ 222.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
29 May 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.542 Mega Dump Lite $ 163.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 April 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.645 Mega Dump Lite $ 172.43 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 March 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.656 Mega Dump Lite $ 176.49 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 February 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.871 Mega Dump Lite $ 179.21 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 December 2018   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.949 Mega Dump Lite $ 179.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
30 October 2018   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.896 Mega Dump Lite $ 179.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
08 May 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.73 Mega Dump Lite $ 158.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 April 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.72 Mega Dump Lite $ 162.11 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 February 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.844 Mega Dump Lite $ 165.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
08 November 2017   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.825 Mega Dump Lite $ 160.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
05 May 2017   LOW     smart_toy0.678 Mega Dump Lite $ 149.73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 April 2017   LOW     smart_toy0.675 Mega Dump Lite $ 149.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 December 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.989 Mega Dump Lite $ 130.63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 November 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.919 Mega Dump Lite $ 124.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 June 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.699 Mega Dump Lite $ 133.71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for AMGEN Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: AMGN) was last updated 08 May 2026 01:35. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 07 May 2026.