AGNC Investment Corp (AGNC) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to AGNC's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: -1.75%.   Win rate: 61.54%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.567.   Maximum drawdown: -55.35% on 10 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 100.88%. Time in market: 7382 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $845.62 on 15 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for AGNC Investment Corp

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 26 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (61.54% * 8.38%) + (11.54% * 0.39%) - (26.92% * 25.81%) = -1.75%.
Wins: 16 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 7

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

AGNC Investment Corp Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 April 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.485   Mega Dump Lite $ 11.06 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
25 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.806   Mega Dump Lite $ 10.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
20 May 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.829   Mega Dump Lite $ 9.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.988   Mega Dump Lite $ 8.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.672   Mega Dump Lite $ 9.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
05 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.618   Mega Dump Lite $ 9.44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
19 April 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.741   Mega Dump Lite $ 9.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 November 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.87   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 8.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.87   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 8.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 August 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.754   Mega Dump Lite $ 9.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 June 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.781   Mega Dump Lite $ 9.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 May 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.791   Mega Dump Lite $ 8.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 April 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.885   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 10.33 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 March 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.691   Mega Dump Lite $ 10.74 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
14 November 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.909   Mega Dump Lite $ 9.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 October 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.98   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 7.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.868   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 11.96 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
26 July 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.941   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 12.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
22 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.979   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 10.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
03 May 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.813   Mega Dump Lite $ 11.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
14 March 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.983   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 12.88 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
08 February 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.858   Mega Dump Lite $ 14.39 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
27 July 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.595   Mega Dump Lite $ 16.14 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 June 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.836   Mega Dump Lite $ 17.06 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
10 July 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.911   Mega Dump Lite $ 12.27 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 June 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.708   Mega Dump Lite $ 13.44 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 May 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.906   Mega Dump Lite $ 12.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 April 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.994   Mega Dump Lite $ 9.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.774   Mega Dump Lite $ 17.27 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 September 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.734   Mega Dump Lite $ 13.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 December 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.643   Mega Dump Lite $ 15.01 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 November 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.871   Mega Dump Lite $ 14.47 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for AGNC Investment Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: AGNC) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 15 May 2026.