AGNC Investment Corp (AGNC) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to AGNC's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: -0.15%.   Win rate: 41.67%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.923.
Mean CAGR of winning trades: 23.14%. Time in market: 2717 days.   Average win: 16.64% Average loss: -12.14%.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for AGNC Investment Corp

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 12 signal(s): (41.67% * 16.64%) - (58.33% * 12.14%) = -0.15%.
Wins: 5 Losses: 7

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

AGNC Investment Corp Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Rate of Change Backtest Summary (Trailing Stops System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Rate of Change entry signal and held until the initial 20% stop loss or the trailing stop loss was triggered.

Key:   electric_bolt : high CAGR trade schedule : open trade

Signal Date Price CAGR Profit / Loss Running Avg
09 November 2017 bubble_chart   LOW   $14.47 2.05% 4.85% 4.85 %
03 September 2019 bubble_chart   HIGH   $13.38 27.70% 
electric_boltelectric_bolt
 13.34% 9.1 %
17 March 2020 bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.994 $11.48 -100.00% -21.10% -0.97 %
24 June 2021 bubble_chart   MEDIUM   $17.14 -29.50% -20.30% -5.8 %
25 February 2022 bubble_chart   MEDIUM   $12.98 -54.79% -21.45% -8.93 %
28 April 2022 bubble_chart   MEDIUM   $11.28 -14.62% -6.21% -8.48 %
22 June 2022 bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.979 $10.73 -5.38% -1.40% -7.47 %
04 October 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.988 $8.90 37.60% 
electric_boltelectric_bolt
 14.62% -4.71 %
31 October 2023   MEDIUM   $7.15 23.79% electric_bolt 28.29% -1.04 %
08 November 2024   MEDIUM   $9.60 -22.84% -10.11% -1.95 %
14 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.971 $8.48 24.54% electric_bolt 22.10% 0.24 %
17 March 2026   MEDIUM   $10.45 -64.60% schedule -4.45% -0.15 %

 

The data for AGNC Investment Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: AGNC) was last updated 10 Apr 2026 05:05. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 09 Apr 2026.