International Business Machines Corp (IBM) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Buy indicator:              
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Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Expectancy: 5.93%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 2.037.   Maximum drawdown: 25.57% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 84.23%. Time in market: 851 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1555.34 on 02 June 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for International Business Machines

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 12 signal(s) occurring before 17 February 2024 for a 5% profit target: (100% * 5.93%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 5.93%.
Wins: 12 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

International Business Machines Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

26 week low Backtest Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 26 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
23 February 2026 $ 238.86 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
01 May 2023 bubble_chart $ 120.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 September 2022 bubble_chart $ 125.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 November 2021 bubble_chart $ 115.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 October 2021 bubble_chart $ 130.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 October 2020 $ 115.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 March 2020 $ 125.53 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 December 2018 $ 106.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 October 2018 $ 124.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 June 2018 $ 127.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 April 2018 $ 130.94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 July 2017 $ 129.91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
11 May 2017 $ 131.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for International Business Machines Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: IBM) was last updated 24 Feb 2026 06:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 23 Feb 2026.