Humana Inc (HUM) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to HUM's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 3.09%.   Win rate: 85.71%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.178.   Maximum drawdown: -44.88% on 18 July 2025.
Mean CAGR: 143.02%. Time in market: 1045 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $966.34 on 20 January 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Humana

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 7 signal(s) occurring before 22 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (85.71% * 9.10%) + (0% * 0%) - (14.29% * 32.96%) = 3.09%.
Wins: 6 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Humana Analysis

Market sector: Healthcare.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

52 week low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
11 March 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.964 52 Week Low $ 171.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 January 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.934 52 Week Low $ 213.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
15 July 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.483 52 Week Low $ 224.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 May 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.818 52 Week Low $ 232.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 October 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.863 52 Week Low $ 297.22 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
02 April 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.808 52 Week Low $ 309.91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 February 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.528 52 Week Low $ 351.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
18 January 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.937 52 Week Low $ 402.21 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 July 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.74 52 Week Low $ 439.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
07 January 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.948 52 Week Low $ 365.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 March 2020   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.977 52 Week Low $ 222.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.502 52 Week Low $ 260.49 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Humana Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: HUM) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 06:45. Data for this stock is available from 04 Jan 2016 - 29 Apr 2026.