HubSpot Inc (HUBS) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to HUBS's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 6.97%.   Win rate: 92.68%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.474.   Maximum drawdown: -68.53% on 13 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 159.12%. Time in market: 4023 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $6887.73 on 12 November 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for HubSpot

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 41 signal(s) occurring before 19 March 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (92.68% * 9.31%) + (2.44% * 0.61%) - (4.88% * 34.16%) = 6.97%.
Wins: 38 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

HubSpot Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
24 March 2026   15     Gap Down $ 247.54 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 February 2026   10     Gap Down $ 244.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 January 2026   0     Gap Down $ 320.44 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 November 2025   10     Gap Down $ 475.00 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 September 2025   10     Gap Down $ 492.73 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 June 2025   10     Gap Down $ 593.52 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 May 2025   10     Gap Down $ 608.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
19 February 2025   10     Gap Down $ 785.48 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 December 2024   10     Gap Down $ 725.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
13 June 2024   10     Gap Down $ 580.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 April 2024   10     Gap Down $ 617.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
15 March 2024   5     Gap Down $ 609.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 February 2024   5     Gap Down $ 628.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
02 January 2024   0     Gap Down $ 560.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 October 2023   20     Gap Down $ 420.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 September 2023   20     Gap Down $ 489.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 July 2023   20     Gap Down $ 550.19 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
07 June 2023   20     Gap Down $ 516.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 March 2023   0     Gap Down $ 379.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 February 2023  bubble_chart   0     Gap Down $ 373.45 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 December 2022  bubble_chart   0     Gap Down $ 290.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 October 2022  bubble_chart   20     Gap Down $ 276.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 July 2022  bubble_chart   20     Gap Down $ 282.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 June 2022  bubble_chart   20     Gap Down $ 332.95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 May 2022  bubble_chart   20     Gap Down $ 378.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 March 2022  bubble_chart   20     Gap Down $ 490.47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 December 2021  bubble_chart   5     Gap Down $ 701.00 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
10 November 2021  bubble_chart   0     Gap Down $ 822.07 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 May 2021  bubble_chart   0     Gap Down $ 503.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 February 2021  bubble_chart   0     Gap Down $ 503.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 December 2020  bubble_chart   0     Gap Down $ 407.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 September 2020  bubble_chart   5     Gap Down $ 292.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 June 2020  bubble_chart   5     Gap Down $ 203.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 April 2020  bubble_chart   5     Gap Down $ 136.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 March 2020  bubble_chart   75     Gap Down $ 140.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 February 2020  bubble_chart   0     Gap Down $ 182.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 May 2019  bubble_chart   5     Gap Down $ 175.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 March 2019  bubble_chart   0     Gap Down $ 169.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 December 2018  bubble_chart   40     Gap Down $ 118.63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2018  bubble_chart   20     Gap Down $ 123.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 October 2018  bubble_chart   15     Gap Down $ 130.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 September 2018  bubble_chart   15     Gap Down $ 142.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 July 2018  bubble_chart   15     Gap Down $ 131.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 June 2018  bubble_chart   15     Gap Down $ 130.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 August 2017   0     Gap Down $ 71.85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 May 2017   0     Gap Down $ 67.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 March 2017   0     Gap Down $ 62.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 December 2016       Gap Down $ 54.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2016       Gap Down $ 56.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 September 2016       Gap Down $ 54.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 June 2016       Gap Down $ 50.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 February 2016       Gap Down $ 39.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for HubSpot Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: HUBS) was last updated 27 Mar 2026 11:18. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 26 Mar 2026.