4 February 2026: BTFDBot is currently being rebuilt following an extensive test with 1507 real money trades. The buy signals are in the process of being restructured. First to reappear will be 52 Week Lows and Super Oversold from a 52 Week Low. More buy signals will be added soon. Poor performing buy signals will be scrapped. There is also a new 6% swing trading profit target, which is the profit target I use for real money tests.

HP Inc (HPQ) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator: 52 week low Super Oversold [ What are these indicators? | Switch to HPQ's monthly backtests ]
Profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]
Expectancy: 6.76%. Win rate: 100%. Sharpe Ratio: 3.258. Maximum drawdown: 11.66% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 240.15%. Time in market: 118 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1579.32 on 28 October 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for HP

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 7 signal(s) occurring before 28 January 2024 for a 5% profit target: (100% * 6.76%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 6.76%.
Wins: 7 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

HP Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

52 week low Backtest Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
		5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
03 February 2026	$19.03	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
02 January 2026	$22.33	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
19 November 2025	$22.56	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
31 March 2025	$27.57	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	schedule	schedule	schedule
21 September 2022	$26.31	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
16 March 2020	$15.09	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
04 October 2019	$16.53	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 August 2019	$17.12	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
13 May 2019	$17.80	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
06 March 2019	$18.41	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
24 December 2018	$18.59	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

The data for HP Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: HPQ) was last updated 04 Feb 2026 20:28. Data for this stock is available from 04 Jan 2016 - 03 Feb 2026.