Graco Inc (GGG) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Rate of Change Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom
Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD Best Buy Signals [ What are these indicators? | Switch to GGG's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores help.
Expectancy: 7.32%. Win rate: 86.36%. Sharpe Ratio: -2.251. Maximum drawdown: -20.25% on 17 June 2022.
Mean CAGR: 99.3%. Time in market: 2340 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2519.55 on 04 December 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Graco

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 22 signal(s) occurring before 22 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (86.36% * 8.21%) + (13.64% * 1.70%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.32%.
Wins: 19 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Graco Analysis

Market sector: Industrials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
28 April 2026 LOW smart_toy0.601	50 Day Low	$ 80.82	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
27 March 2026 LOW smart_toy0.88	50 Day Low	$ 83.98	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
14 November 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.636	50 Day Low	$ 80.48	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule
09 October 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.693	50 Day Low	$ 82.78	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule
31 July 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.649	50 Day Low	$ 83.52	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	schedule
03 April 2025 MEDIUM FIRE SALE smart_toy0.95	50 Day Low	$ 81.14	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
10 January 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.962	50 Day Low	$ 80.76	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
02 July 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.619	50 Day Low	$ 78.20	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
29 May 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.662	50 Day Low	$ 78.82	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
25 April 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.702	50 Day Low	$ 83.04	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
25 October 2023 MEDIUM FIRE SALE smart_toy0.866	50 Day Low	$ 69.98	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 September 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.673	50 Day Low	$ 73.58	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
16 August 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.662	50 Day Low	$ 76.18	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
29 September 2022 MEDIUM FIRE SALE smart_toy0.978	50 Day Low	$ 60.58	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.776	50 Day Low	$ 59.16	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
11 April 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.765	50 Day Low	$ 67.62	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
24 February 2022 MEDIUM FIRE SALE smart_toy0.959	50 Day Low	$ 69.70	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
21 January 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.806	50 Day Low	$ 71.65	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
20 September 2021 MEDIUM smart_toy0.588	50 Day Low	$ 74.20	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
17 June 2021 MEDIUM smart_toy0.887	50 Day Low	$ 71.99	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
03 March 2021 MEDIUM smart_toy0.698	50 Day Low	$ 68.89	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
28 February 2020 MEDIUM smart_toy0.753	50 Day Low	$ 49.00	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
02 October 2019 MEDIUM smart_toy0.767	50 Day Low	$ 43.86	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
02 August 2019 MEDIUM smart_toy0.726	50 Day Low	$ 46.41	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
29 May 2019 MEDIUM smart_toy0.531	50 Day Low	$ 46.54	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
04 October 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.594	50 Day Low	$ 43.90	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
08 February 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.943	50 Day Low	$ 41.14	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
17 July 2017 MEDIUM smart_toy0.496	50 Day Low	$ 34.73	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 October 2016 LOW smart_toy0.772	50 Day Low	$ 22.39	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 September 2016 LOW smart_toy0.825	50 Day Low	$ 22.87	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
03 August 2016 LOW smart_toy0.665	50 Day Low	$ 23.16	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
27 June 2016 LOW smart_toy0.877	50 Day Low	$ 23.91	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt

The data for Graco Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: GGG) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 06:44. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 29 Apr 2026.