Flowers Foods Inc (FLO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to FLO's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 9.05%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 3.444.   Maximum drawdown: -13.66% on 13 October 2023.
Mean CAGR: 130.69%. Time in market: 646 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1206.71 on 09 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Flowers Foods

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 5 signal(s) occurring before 26 March 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 9.05%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.05%.
Wins: 5 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Flowers Foods Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
01 April 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.977   mode_heat Super Oversold $ 8.10 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.978   mode_heat Super Oversold $ 8.27 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 March 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.978   mode_heat Super Oversold $ 8.27 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 March 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.992   mode_heat Super Oversold $ 8.59 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.976   mode_heat Super Oversold $ 9.14 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 March 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.976   mode_heat Super Oversold $ 9.14 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 March 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.966   mode_heat Super Oversold $ 9.36 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.966   mode_heat Super Oversold $ 9.36 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 February 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.968   mode_heat Super Oversold $ 10.00 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.971   mode_heat Super Oversold $ 10.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
10 November 2025   MEDIUM     Super Oversold $ 11.60 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
31 October 2025   HIGH     Super Oversold $ 11.96 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 October 2025   HIGH     Super Oversold $ 12.56 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 September 2025   HIGH     Super Oversold $ 13.12 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 September 2025   HIGH     Super Oversold $ 13.32 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 September 2025   MEDIUM     Super Oversold $ 13.62 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 September 2025   HIGH     Super Oversold $ 13.98 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 September 2025   MEDIUM     Super Oversold $ 14.47 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 September 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.958   mode_heat Super Oversold $ 14.68 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
26 August 2025   HIGH     Super Oversold $ 15.06 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
26 August 2025   MEDIUM     Super Oversold $ 15.06 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 June 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.979   mode_heat Super Oversold $ 16.31 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 May 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.966   mode_heat Super Oversold $ 17.00 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
14 May 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.969   mode_heat Super Oversold $ 17.04 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.988   mode_heat Super Oversold $ 17.62 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 February 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.977   mode_heat Super Oversold $ 18.76 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 January 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.99   mode_heat Super Oversold $ 19.37 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 October 2023  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.965   mode_heat Super Oversold $ 20.29 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 October 2023  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.967   mode_heat Super Oversold $ 21.49 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
27 September 2023  bubble_chart   HIGH     Super Oversold $ 22.17 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 July 2023  bubble_chart   HIGH     Super Oversold $ 23.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 March 2020  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.988   mode_heatmode_heatmode_heat Super Oversold $ 18.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Flowers Foods Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: FLO) was last updated 05 Apr 2026 19:44. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 02 Apr 2026.