Carters Inc (CRI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to CRI's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 10.48%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 9.594.   Maximum drawdown: -14.18% on 01 April 2020.
Mean CAGR: 213.6%. Time in market: 47 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1094.10 on 28 April 2020.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Carters

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 2 signal(s) occurring before 22 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 10.48%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 10.48%.
Wins: 2 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Carters Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Mega Dump Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Mega Dump entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 April 2026   LOW     smart_toy0.808 Mega Dump $ 35.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
04 March 2026   HIGH     smart_toy0.802 Mega Dump $ 35.53 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
08 September 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.938 Mega Dump $ 28.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 August 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.982 Mega Dump $ 25.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 April 2025   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.988 Mega Dump $ 36.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 March 2025   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.958 Mega Dump $ 42.48 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 November 2024   HIGH     smart_toy0.376 Mega Dump $ 53.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
21 April 2020   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.977 Mega Dump $ 72.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 March 2020   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.977 Mega Dump $ 73.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Carters Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: CRI) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 07:57. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 29 Apr 2026.