Capital One Financial Corp (COF) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to COF's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 5.01%.   Win rate: 78.95%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.515.   Maximum drawdown: -55.02% on 03 April 2020.
Mean CAGR: 100.29%. Time in market: 3751 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1236.02 on 20 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Capital One

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 19 signal(s) occurring before 22 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (78.95% * 8.48%) + (15.79% * 1.66%) - (5.26% * 36.94%) = 5.01%.
Wins: 15 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Capital One Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 March 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.878 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 177.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
23 February 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.885 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 198.22 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 November 2025   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.795 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 205.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 October 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.735 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 206.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 March 2025   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.953 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 174.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 August 2024   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.757 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 131.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 June 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.682 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 134.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 October 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.905 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 90.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 September 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.75 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 99.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 May 2023   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.525 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 88.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 December 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.509 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 90.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 September 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.979 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 97.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.958 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 108.01 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 April 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.767 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 122.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 March 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH     smart_toy0.896 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 134.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 November 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.749 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 142.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
27 October 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.835 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 156.32 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
25 February 2020   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.739 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 95.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 August 2019   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.662 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 84.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 December 2018   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.488 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 85.05 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 October 2018   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.659 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 89.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 May 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.705 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 85.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
31 May 2017   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.626 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 73.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 April 2017   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.705 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 76.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
21 March 2017   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.697 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 80.41 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
14 June 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.886 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 61.63 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Capital One Financial Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: COF) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 07:57. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 29 Apr 2026.